ASSEMBLY
ELECTION IN INDIA
A CASE
STUDY:- TIJARA, RAJASTHAN
SARASIJ
MAJUMDER
Tijara, situated within the Alwar district of Rajasthan, is
a town that predominantly encompasses rural areas. This constituency places a
significant emphasis on agricultural and rural development. Tijara serves as
both a city and a municipality in the Khairthal-Tijara district of the Indian
state of Rajasthan. Over the years, Tijara, a legislative assembly constituency
in Rajasthan, has witnessed fascinating electoral contests. In the 2023
elections, Tijara, has a total of 2,60,000
eligible voters approximately.
Election took place on 25th November, and result
will be available on 3rd December
Out of this, 2,20,000 votes have casted their votes. It is
learned that mostly HINDU votes are the UN-CASTED votes.
MAIN CONTESTENTS ARE:-
|
Candidate
Name
|
Party
Name
|
|
Imran
Khan
|
Congress
|
|
Baba
Balakanth, MP
|
BJP
|
The Distribution of VOTERS, Sex wise, as follows:-
MALE:--1,35,000 app. Balance
Female.
Age wise: 20% are young, 50% are middle aged, rest is Senior
Citizen.
Here, Hindu, and Muslim Polarization happened, and will
decide the WINNER.
Cast Wise:-
1.0 There is hardly any MINA settled here.
2.0 There are about 17,000 GURJAR VOTES,10,000 of which is
expected to go to BJP. Gurjars has set up a GURJAR candidate, who is likely to secure
about 7,000 votes. They divided themselves , and may have lost any bargaining power.
3.0 There are about 50,000+ YADAV votes, all of which
will also be casted in favour of BJP.
4.0 There are about 95,000 MUSLIM votes, completely
POLARISED, and will go to CONGRESS—lock-stock- and barrel, all complete.
5.0 There are about 50,000 SC/ST votes. There seems to be an
understanding with Sushree Mayavati. It is expected, most of it will go to BJP.
6.0 There are large number of educated URBAN residents in
various SOCIETY BUILDINGS, and FLATS—the number is about 20,000—and most of it
will go to BJP.
7.0 I.N.D.I.A. has put an SP candidate to divide Hindu votes.
The vote here will be mostly decided as above. Hence, if you do the ARITHMATICS BJP is most likely
to win this assembly seat with a thin
margin, if SC/ST remain faithful to the commitment to BJP.
I am living here for the last 6 years, and remains SOCIALLY quite active. Spent sometime in the various booths. Got the feelings, and collected inputs later.
The above is purely my personal opinion, shared as information.
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