ASSEMBLY ELECTION IN INDIA

A CASE STUDY:- TIJARA, RAJASTHAN

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

Tijara, situated within the Alwar district of Rajasthan, is a town that predominantly encompasses rural areas. This constituency places a significant emphasis on agricultural and rural development. Tijara serves as both a city and a municipality in the Khairthal-Tijara district of the Indian state of Rajasthan. Over the years, Tijara, a legislative assembly constituency in Rajasthan, has witnessed fascinating electoral contests. In the 2023 elections, Tijara, has   a total of 2,60,000 eligible voters approximately.

Election took place on 25th November, and result will be available on 3rd December

Out of this, 2,20,000 votes have casted their votes. It is learned that mostly HINDU votes are the UN-CASTED votes.

MAIN CONTESTENTS ARE:-

Candidate Name

Party Name

Imran Khan

Congress

Baba Balakanth, MP

BJP

 

The Distribution of VOTERS, Sex wise, as follows:-

MALE:--1,35,000 app.  Balance Female.

Age wise: 20% are young, 50% are middle aged, rest is Senior Citizen.

Here, Hindu, and Muslim Polarization happened, and will decide the WINNER.

Cast Wise:-

1.0 There is hardly any MINA settled here.

2.0 There are about 17,000 GURJAR VOTES,10,000 of which is expected to go to BJP. Gurjars has set up a GURJAR candidate, who is likely to secure about 7,000 votes. They divided themselves , and may have lost any bargaining power.

3.0 There are about 50,000+ YADAV votes, all of which will  also be casted in favour of BJP.

4.0 There are about 95,000 MUSLIM votes, completely POLARISED, and will go to CONGRESS—lock-stock- and barrel, all complete.

5.0 There are about 50,000 SC/ST votes. There seems to be an understanding with Sushree Mayavati. It is expected,  most of it will go to BJP.

6.0 There are large number of educated URBAN residents in various SOCIETY BUILDINGS, and FLATS—the number is about 20,000—and most of it will go to BJP.

7.0 I.N.D.I.A. has put an SP candidate to divide Hindu votes. 

The vote here will be mostly decided as above. Hence,  if you do the ARITHMATICS BJP is most likely to win  this assembly seat with a thin margin, if SC/ST remain faithful to the commitment to BJP.

I am living here for the last 6 years, and remains SOCIALLY quite active. Spent sometime in the various booths. Got the feelings, and collected  inputs later.

The above is purely my personal opinion, shared as information.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Image
  WHO PAYS THE LEGAL COST OF KEJRIWAL &CO DELHI—THINK BEFORE YOU VOTE.. Excise scam: AAP-led govt spent   ₹25.25 crore on top lawyers’ fees SARASIJ MAJUMDER T he excise policy scam in Delhi not only brought shame to the Arvind Kejriwal government, but the government exchequer is also facing an economic burden to meet expenses due to   burden of legal battles. In   2021-2022 (until 30 November), ₹25.25 crore has been paid to top lawyers, according to a Hindustan Times report. The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) and the Enforcement Directorate (ED) are engaged in the investigation of these cases. According to the documents, Congress leader Abhishek Manu Singhvi, who is also a lawyer, resenting Mr. Kejriwal, has been paid the sum of ₹18.97 crore in the past 18 months for fighting its cases, while Adv Rahul Mehra has been paid ₹5.30 crore in the past 28 months. According to the reports, in 2021-22 and 2022-23, various departments including environment, urban develop
Read more
Image
  INDIANS EXTRAORDINARY FIRST PART HERE, I WILL COVER THE  OUTSTANDING INDIAN SCIENTISTS, CHRONOLOGICALLY MOVING BACKWARD . 1.0 NEENA GUPTA. In 2014, she was awarded the Young Scientists Award by the Indian National Science Academy (INSA) for solving the Zariski Cancellation Problem, posed by Oscar Zariski, one of the most eminent founders of modern algebraic geometry. “One of the best works in algebraic geometry in recent years done anywhere,” was INSA’s remark on Gupta’s solution. In 2021, she was awarded the Ramanujan Prize for young mathematicians for her series of outstanding work in affine algebraic geometry and commutative algebra, particularly for the Zariski Cancellation Problem, that had remained unsolved for 60 years until 2014 when Gupta cracked it. With this, she became the third woman and the fourth Indian to win an award given to mathematicians under 45 who have conducted outstanding research in a developing country. “Her research shows impressive algebraic s
Read more
Image
  MR. MODI--SWOT ANAYSIS SARASIJ MAJUMDER I am a very big   admirer of Mr. MODI. And belongs to similar age group. So, he, and me- saw the same India, and lived in the same period, though groomed differently, worked in different areas, and   also in different professions. I will present here a SWOT analysis of the RESPECTED PERSON—who is WORLD’S most popular, and IMPACTFUL political leader. Leaving Mr. Bose—there is no   other INDIAN STATESMAN & POLITICAL   LEADER, past or present-- anywhere near him. WHAT IS “SWOT”—analysis?   It narrates an account of Strength(S), Weakness(W), Opportunity (O) and Threat (T). LET US START:-- STRENGTH : Communication Skills: Mr. Modi is known for his effective public speaking and ability to connect with a wide range of audiences. His speeches often resonate with the public and convey a clear message. Vision for Development: He has a strong focus on economic reforms, infrastructure development, and initiati
Read more