-:MUSLIM VOTES IN INDIA:- Analysis Based on Past Elections. SARASIJ MAJUMDER   While an individual Muslim may be an exception to what I mentioned below, the community as a whole votes as follows,   under present scenario. These are   my OBSERVATIONS: 1.0 If a Muslim Voter finds a Muslim Candidate fighting the Election, they will vote for him, if he has any chance to win election. Even if he is a marked criminal, with pending cases, he will get votes. Religion counts first. 2.0 In Rajasthan, Karnataka, MP, Chhattisgarh, HP, UK-- they vote for the Congress. 3.0   In West Bengal they now vote for TMC only. 4.0   In Bihar they vote for RJD. 5.0   In UP they vote for SP, and it’s alliances, if any. 6.0 In Delhi they vote for Kejriwal’s Party (AAP). 7.0 In Kerala, they may vote for CPI(M), or Congress. 8.0 In J&K—Their party is NC, after GUPKER ALLIANCE. 9.0 In Maharashtra—Either they will vote for any Muslim party fighting el...

  J & K,  370, &   ELECTION INDIA’S WELL WISHERS SARASIJ MAJUMDER   More than 100 years ago, British was our enemy and Congress claim that they were fighting our battle for Independence. That is only ‘HALF TRUTH’. Now Congress is the enemy of INDIA and British is standing with us INTERNATIONALLY.  This FACT is very interesting! In the 2014 Kashmir elections, the BJP won 25 seats. Those were different time, Article 370 was in place, and   MUSLIMS   were kicking strongly. Two decades ago, they BUTCHERED, SET FIRE, RAPED, AND DRIVEN AWAY PUNDITS FROM THE VALLEY. The eco system of Congress was such that there were fewer seats in Hindu majority areas and much more in Muslim dominated ones. What happening was that whosoever the Hindus voted for, the government would be formed by whoever the Muslims wanted. Despite this, the BJP won 25 seats and formed the BJP-PDP   coalition government in spite of  Article    370. Thos...

  REASONS BEHIND HARYANA WIN ASSEMBLY ELECTION:2024 SARASIJ MAJUMDER     FIRST LET ME THANK ALL THOSE PEOPLE OF HARIYANA, WHO VOTED FOR BJP, CAUSING THIS WIN A REALITY. INDIAN POLITICAL HISTORY WILL REMEMBER THIS. For my readers, on my this BLOG, dated 18/09/24-- I predicted BJP win in Haryana. Link is furnished below for your reference. https://sarasij1majumder.blogspot.com/2024/09/electionharyana.html Now I explain below the   main causes of this victory, with consequences. 1.0 “ Matdata Jagrukta Abhiyan”  This was an ELECTION CAMPAIGN   carried out by RSS KARYKARTAS. This paid maximum dividend. I would like to share what RSS did in the last 4 months during Haryana election campaign. RSS organization held  about 16 thousand meetings in Haryana. They Covered more than 6000 villages in Haryana with door-to-door campaigning to unite Hindus. There are more than 7000 villages, and 153   town and city in Haryana. RSS's relentless cam...

  ELECTION FORECAST OF J & K SARASIJ MAJUMDER THE PREAMBLE: J & K’S past legacy   involved around article 370 and 35 A, supporting terrorists,   RIOTS AND BURNING HINDU HOUSES, STONE PELTING,   THROWING OUT PUNDITS, DESTROYING TEMPLES, getting heavily subsidized food from GOI for the citizens of Kashmir and allowing warped,   discriminatory representation, from valley, Jammu and Leh --Ladakh. The present thought process revolves around treating J&K at par with other states and work for assimilation which has brought peace and prosperity to the rest of India and there should be no reason to believe that J&K would be an exception. It also means more muscular and no nonsense dealing with terrorists and their sympathizers. It also means development in J&K. Sorry to say but in the later thought process the “has been” variety of Abdullahs, Muftis and the Hurriyat have no place and that is why the statements opposing it from these people. Th...

  ELECTION IN J&K A POLITICAL ANALYSIS SARASIJ MAJUMDER NC + INC +PDP National Conference has promised to restore Article 370 if they come to power though constitutionally that is not possible. Legislation ratified that, and review in SC agreed with that. It is now fool-proof. Senior Congress leader Ghulam Nabi Azad said that the Congress never demanded a reversal of the 5 August 2019 decision to revoke the special status of J&K. He also praised the administration of L-G Manoj Sinha, saying he “has done a very good job”. This can be a big boost to BJP’s campaign and trouble for Congress. Or congress is overconfident of not getting harmed by NC’s stance on article 370 abrogation because of BJP’s defeat in Ayodhya despite Ram Mandir ? Article 370 abrogation has been as important and emotional issue as Ram Mandir for Indians. In their brief press briefing earlier this week, on their first visit ...

  2024 ELECTION: MY TAKE ROUTE MAP FOR FUTURE ELECTIONS SARASIJ MAJUMDER The hidden factor behind the recent election results in India is that however much caste is hyped and consolidation of the majority disturbed, the majority of the people have given a go bye to the same. The polarisation of the majority has happened as it happened in 2014, got consolidated in2019—and mostly retained in 2024 . BJP secured the 36.56% of votes which is short by ONLY 0.8% compared to  vote share of 2019. With some amount of incumbency of past 10 years, poor handling of Manipur, with non-contributing persons like Mr. Nadda, and   Amit Malviya, and some others-- -- BJP still has the ability to retain its vote share and will not allow the same to wither away, even in extreme circumstances. BJP polled 36.56% votes in 2024 against 37.77% votes   in 2019. Poor performance in two big states simultaneously was bound   ...

  :MAHARASHTRA: ASSEMBLY ELECTION PAST ANALYSIS|| FORECAST SARASIJ MAJUMDER     A. VOTE SHARE: PARLIAMENTARY ELECTION MARATHAS  -BJP+ : 46%      INC+ : 39% OBCs -              BJP+ : 50%     INC+ : 39% FCs -                 BJP+ : 58%        INC+ : 38% SCs -                 BJP+ : 35%         INC+ : 46% Muslims voted one sided for INC+ as per CSDS Post Poll Survey. Overall, INC+ got 43.71% vote share while BJP+ 43.55% vote share. Looking at the current situation of Maharashtra Assembly, the 'Mahayuti'  (MY) alliance has a total of 203 seats, including 103 seats of BJP, 40 seats of Ajit Pawar's NCP, 38 seats of Shinde facti...

  ELECTION—2024 FUTURE TENSE SARASIJ MAJUMDER I have been asked several questions in the social media, and over Phone about present election, after various Blogs on the same posted by me. I response as below:- 1.0. On low turnout of Voters:- I think—Opposition Parties used to spend money to buy votes—for obvious reasons, that amount has dried up, and so also number of   opposition voters. 2.0. I think, everybody now understand that it is MODI---3. The only issue is number of seats. Nobody has a Crystal Ball. I will go with prediction of Satta Bazar. 3.0 Weakness of BJP:- Maharashtra, and Bihar. In Maharashtra, breaking of NCP, and Shiv Sena was right Tactics. But Mr. Shinde is having too many seats he can manage. Some he will lose. Same with Mr. Nitish Kumar of Bihar. He is at the end of his popularity. BJP also may lose 4-5 seats combined, in Rajasthan and Gujarat. However—there will be reasonable compensations from elsewhere. 4.0 POST ELECTION:- 4.1 I...

  WEST BENGAL:-- ELECTION 2024 MUSLIM HEAVY CONSTITUENCIES AN INTERIM   REVIEW SARASIJ MAJUMDER   BACK GROUND:-   3/7 part of voting in West Bengal is   over. Disturbance is reported and EVM was mishandled in WEST BENGAL , as reported.   With 8/10 already in bag,  BJP is in QUITE   favourable position to win 29 seats in West Bengal, on strength of Hindu Majority, if, and only if—FAIR ELECTION,VOTING, AND Correct COUNTING and Posting is assured, and HINDU votes are secured. It requires only above average commitment by the complete team. Look at below the statistics of Muslim population in West Bengal. . Source:- WIKI In 1951, the Muslim Population in West Bengal was 51 Lakh. In 2011, it became 2 Crore 47 Lakhs in 60 Years as per census. . This may not completely include Migration from East Pakistan( 1951-1971), Bangladesh (1971 -2024) and all Rohingyas. Apart from that, we will review 8 (EIGHT) constituencies, where Muslim popul...

  COMPARISON BETWEEN 2014—2019—2024 HOW ELECTION ISSUES CHANGED SARASIJ MAJUMDER 2014: There was a huge wave in people wanting a change in GOVERNMENT. Gujarat C.M. Modi was P.M. face of B.J.P. and was new to National Politics. The NDA had fewer powerful allies. AAP was contesting elections from many seats. Modi faced scrutiny for the 2002 Gujarat riots. Parties were focused on their ideologies. Inflation was a very big topic. Opinion polls didn't clearly predict NDA's victory. The competition included Rahul, Mayawati, Mulayam, Mamata, etc. as p.m. FACE. Nationalism wasn't a major discussion. Congress's manifesto seemed in tune with Indian values. Many Muslims had negative views of Modi. UPA was suffering from Policy Paralysis. SCAMS were everywhere, though not fully exposed. RESULT BJP—Majority achieved. NDA Formed Government. 2019: There was minima...