SARASIJ'S BLOG
- Get link
- X
- Other Apps
HOW TO
SELECT AN EQUITY INVESTMENT COMPANY?
12
COMMANDMENTS
SARASIJ
MAJUMDER
01.0—By
investment, we mean only value investment—and not TRADING.
02.0—Compounding
is a great process for multiplying money/wealth. Compounding can happen, if one
remains invested for a long time. Hence—purpose is to find a Company, who will
beat PAR, consistently, over a long time. The question is, how to do that?
03.0—First
we select one of the three BUSINESS MODELs:--BàB; BàG; & BàC. I don’t want to discuss
the merits and demerits of above three models. Our preferred model is BàC. This is direct, more
reliable, and predictable. Manufacturers of Consumer goods are one example of
these type of companies.
04.0—Once
selected the model, then we select market leaders in the GROUP, who are BàC companies, and
consistently GROWING, MAKING PROFITS, and sharing WELATH. And select the Market Leaders only. Our 1st
step is taken.
05.0—Now,
we must study the business history, at least over one BULL cycle, and over one
BEAR cycle. Study shall include the technical parameters including Common Size
Analysis, Du-Point analysis, and Balance Sheets. If we find that the company is
growing, and doing well in both the phases—we short list those companies or
further scrutiny.
06.00—Now
we check the company for its management process, function, and succession plan.
Whether it is a PROMOTER run business, or professionals run this. We also see
the list of EXTERNAL DIRECTORS. If the company proves to be TRANSPARENT, and
professionally managed, well managed Trust Hold Capital, or most of the Capital
are market hold, and exhibited good succession plan over the years—the
companies is further shortlisted. CAUTION: -- If promoters hold large number of
shares, and particularly large part of those are pledged –PROBLEM.
7.0
Company shall be largely free from DEBT, and regularly share BONUS, or
Dividends. Pay all the taxes and have good Stock Liquidity.
08.0—Company,
shall preferably be monopolistic, or have limited competition, or as a minimum,
shall have sustainable competitive advantage for at least future 7 years.
Government regulations on the product also must be evaluated in a futuristic
manner. ITC’s Tobacco business is bound to get into loss, or low return, in
spite of being some sort of MONOPOLISTIC MARKET LEADER in INDIA.
09.0—An
important parameter is to evaluate PEG ratio, i.e. Trailing P/E for last 12
months/ estimated future 5 year’s Growth Rate (GR). A high PEG indicates an
overvalued stock. PEG <1, with good EGR is ideal.
10.0—Another
important ratio is PAY BACK RATIO, MODIFIED: -- MARKET CAP/ Next 5 years’ mean estimated
PAT ( Profit after Tax).
11.0
Margin of Safety is difference between Value of Stock, and Price. The more the
gap, the better the stock
12.0 RISK: -- There are three risks,
mainly—a) Business Risk; b) Management Risk, and c) Risk from regulatory
framework. If we identify that stock may suffer from any of the preceding risk
factor, we shall avoid that stock.
References:
-
1.0
Most of the annual lectures of WARREN BUFFET.
2.0
Books of Benjamin Graham.
3.0
Books of Robert Kiyosaki.
4.0
Lectures and seminars attended on Financial Literacy
5.0
Selected publications from WEALTH, DALAL STREET, & OUTLOOK MONEY.
- Get link
- X
- Other Apps
Comments
Post a Comment