POST ELECTION-24: FUTURE

 

ELECTION—2024

FUTURE TENSE

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

I have been asked several questions in the social media, and over Phone about present election, after various Blogs on the same posted by me.

I response as below:-

1.0. On low turnout of Voters:-

I think—Opposition Parties used to spend money to buy votes—for obvious reasons, that amount has dried up, and so also number of  opposition voters.

2.0. I think, everybody now understand that it is MODI---3. The only issue is number of seats. Nobody has a Crystal Ball. I will go with prediction of Satta Bazar.

3.0 Weakness of BJP:-

Maharashtra, and Bihar. In Maharashtra, breaking of NCP, and Shiv Sena was right Tactics. But Mr. Shinde is having too many seats he can manage. Some he will lose. Same with Mr. Nitish Kumar of Bihar. He is at the end of his popularity. BJP also may lose 4-5 seats combined, in Rajasthan and Gujarat.

However—there will be reasonable compensations from elsewhere.

4.0 POST ELECTION:-

4.1 I think, NCP (SP) will merge with Congress, post-Election.

4.2 Today, or tomorrow—TMC also will merge with Congress. If BJP can handle the Counting, where TMC will try to manipulate—BJP may secure 28-- 30 seats in West Bengal, and bring down curtains to TMC soon. Mr. Kharge’s treatment to Mr. Adhir Choudhury indicates that TMC is welcome to merge, with Mamata as leader from West Bengal. So also, some statements of DIDI have same  subtle hints. Initially it may be an alliance—and after losing State Assembly election, it will be MERGER.

4.3 Mr. Navin Pattanayek is on his SWAN SONG. It would have been better if he merged BJD with BJP, before 2024 election. If he loses , that will be difficult now.

4.4 Mr. Nitish Kumar must be looking at the end of his political career. He has lost his control, and influence—both. I think he lost his chances to merge his party with BJP—and now it may see its natural death. He may remain as a small alley of BJP.

 Data References:- PUBLIC DOMAIN, and Newspapers

OPINION, & CONCLUSSIONS:- BLOGGER.

IMGAE;- Google.