ELECTION—2024
FUTURE TENSE
SARASIJ
MAJUMDER
I have been asked several questions
in the social media, and over Phone about present election, after various Blogs
on the same posted by me.
I response as below:-
1.0. On low turnout of Voters:-
I think—Opposition Parties used to spend
money to buy votes—for obvious reasons, that amount has dried up, and so also
number of opposition voters.
2.0. I think, everybody now
understand that it is MODI---3. The only issue is number of seats. Nobody has a
Crystal Ball. I will go with prediction of Satta Bazar.
3.0 Weakness of BJP:-
Maharashtra, and Bihar. In
Maharashtra, breaking of NCP, and Shiv Sena was right Tactics. But Mr. Shinde is
having too many seats he can manage. Some he will lose. Same with Mr. Nitish
Kumar of Bihar. He is at the end of his popularity. BJP also may lose 4-5 seats
combined, in Rajasthan and Gujarat.
However—there will be reasonable
compensations from elsewhere.
4.0 POST ELECTION:-
4.1 I think, NCP (SP) will merge with
Congress, post-Election.
4.2 Today, or tomorrow—TMC also will
merge with Congress. If BJP can handle the Counting, where TMC will try to
manipulate—BJP may secure 28-- 30 seats in West Bengal, and bring down curtains to
TMC soon. Mr. Kharge’s treatment to Mr. Adhir Choudhury indicates that TMC is
welcome to merge, with Mamata as leader from West Bengal. So also, some
statements of DIDI have same subtle
hints. Initially it may be an alliance—and after losing State Assembly
election, it will be MERGER.
4.3 Mr. Navin Pattanayek is on his
SWAN SONG. It would have been better if he merged BJD with BJP, before 2024
election. If he loses , that will be difficult now.
4.4 Mr. Nitish Kumar must be looking
at the end of his political career. He has lost his control, and influence—both.
I think he lost his chances to merge his party with BJP—and now it may see its
natural death. He may remain as a small alley of BJP.
Data References:- PUBLIC DOMAIN, and
Newspapers
OPINION, & CONCLUSSIONS:-
BLOGGER.
IMGAE;- Google.
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