SARASIJ'S BLOG
ELECTION-24/ WEST BENGAL
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WEST
BENGAL:-- ELECTION 2024
MUSLIM HEAVY
CONSTITUENCIES
AN INTERIM REVIEW
SARASIJ
MAJUMDER
BACK
GROUND:-
3/7 part of voting in West Bengal is over. Disturbance is reported and EVM was mishandled in WEST BENGAL , as reported. With 8/10 already in bag, BJP is in QUITE favourable position to win 29 seats in West Bengal, on strength of Hindu Majority, if, and only if—FAIR ELECTION,VOTING, AND Correct COUNTING and Posting is assured, and HINDU votes are secured. It requires only above average commitment by the complete team.
Look at
below the statistics of Muslim population in West Bengal. . Source:- WIKI
In 1951, the Muslim Population in West Bengal was 51 Lakh.
In 2011, it became 2 Crore 47 Lakhs in 60 Years as per census. . This may not
completely include Migration from East Pakistan( 1951-1971), Bangladesh (1971
-2024) and all Rohingyas.
Apart from
that, we will review 8 (EIGHT) constituencies, where Muslim population is between
35%+ to Maximum 64%. The listed
percentage of Muslims expected to be less in GOI data, as many latest illegal immigrants could not be considered in the last Census. History
is witness—if number of Muslim voters in any constituency exceeds 30%, Muslim
Voters decide the WINNER.
Those constituencies where Muslim Voters are over 35%, are:-
Jangipur//Murshidabad//Basirhat//Joy
Nagar//Mathurapur//Diamond Harbor//Jadavpur// Ulu Beria.
If you count the Duplicate Voters, Voter cards of
non-existing persons, Existing Voter Cards of Dead persons, and most of
all—illegal Muslim Voters, it can be safely said that in every constituency,
3.0 Lakh—4.5 lakh voter cards will get cancelled.
This manipulation on VOTER LIST in WEST BENGAL was started by CPI(M)—and enhanced by TMC.
BJP/EC has a very big challenge here to get rid of these
PHANTOM AND ILLEGAL VOTERS.
If these PHANTOM votes are dried out, and based on present
MUSLIM sentiment which is not favourable to TMC—BJP may gain 10+% of Muslim Votes, and will win in quite a few
seats here.
I will discuss in detail two constituencies, Basirhat, and
Diamond Harbor—later.
TOTAL
BJP TALLY COULD BE EVEN 35/42 IN WEST BENGAL. This will be BJP’s excellent performance. If
and only if…PHANTOM VOTES ARE ELIMINATED, FAIR POLLING, AND COUNTING IS
ASSURED.
TMC is sure to win in 4 constituencies. 1 will be Congress.
2 will have close fight, but may be in favour of TMC.
The above
result is achievable for BJP in WEST BENGAL.
2.0 Chanakya web site
3.0 Used Some survey data obtained in person. BLOGGER’S
ANALISIS, INFORMATION PROCESSED, AND ASSESSMENT MADE.
Image:-
WIKI
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