ELECTION-24/ WEST BENGAL

 

WEST BENGAL:-- ELECTION 2024

MUSLIM HEAVY CONSTITUENCIES

AN INTERIM  REVIEW

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

 

BACK GROUND:-

 3/7 part of voting in West Bengal is  over. Disturbance is reported and EVM was mishandled in WEST BENGAL , as reported.  With 8/10 already in bag, BJP is in QUITE  favourable position to win 29 seats in West Bengal, on strength of Hindu Majority, if, and only if—FAIR ELECTION,VOTING, AND Correct COUNTING and Posting is assured, and HINDU votes are secured. It requires only above average commitment by the complete team.

Look at below the statistics of Muslim population in West Bengal. . Source:- WIKI

In 1951, the Muslim Population in West Bengal was 51 Lakh. In 2011, it became 2 Crore 47 Lakhs in 60 Years as per census. . This may not completely include Migration from East Pakistan( 1951-1971), Bangladesh (1971 -2024) and all Rohingyas.

Apart from that, we will review 8 (EIGHT) constituencies, where Muslim population is between 35%+ to   Maximum 64%. The listed percentage of Muslims expected to be less in GOI data, as many latest  illegal immigrants could  not be considered in the last Census. History is witness—if number of Muslim voters in any constituency exceeds 30%, Muslim Voters decide the WINNER.

Those constituencies where Muslim Voters are over 35%,  are:-

 Jangipur//Murshidabad//Basirhat//Joy Nagar//Mathurapur//Diamond Harbor//Jadavpur// Ulu Beria.

If you count the Duplicate Voters, Voter cards of non-existing persons, Existing Voter Cards of Dead persons, and most of all—illegal Muslim Voters, it can be safely said that in every constituency, 3.0 Lakh—4.5 lakh voter cards will get cancelled.

This manipulation on VOTER LIST in WEST BENGAL  was started by CPI(M)—and enhanced by TMC.

BJP/EC has a very big challenge here to get rid of these PHANTOM  AND ILLEGAL VOTERS.

If these PHANTOM votes are dried out, and based on present MUSLIM sentiment which is not favourable to TMC—BJP may gain 10+%  of Muslim Votes, and will win in quite a few seats here.

I will discuss in detail two constituencies, Basirhat, and Diamond Harbor—later.

TOTAL BJP TALLY COULD BE EVEN 35/42 IN WEST BENGAL. This will be BJP’s excellent performance. If and only if…PHANTOM VOTES ARE ELIMINATED, FAIR POLLING, AND COUNTING IS ASSURED.

TMC is sure to win in 4 constituencies. 1 will be Congress. 2 will have close fight, but may be in favour of TMC.

The above result  is achievable for BJP in WEST BENGAL.

DATA REFERENCE:_ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islam_in_West_Bengal#:~:text=Population,-Historical%20Muslim%20Population&text=Pop.&text=Source%3A,from%20last%206%20decades)%20respectively.

2.0  Chanakya web site

3.0 Used Some  survey data obtained in person. BLOGGER’S ANALISIS, INFORMATION PROCESSED, AND ASSESSMENT MADE.

Image:- WIKI

 

 

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