SARASIJ'S BLOG

21st July –2026

  21 st July –2026 SARASIJ MAJUMDER 1.0       TMC (Ritabrata) i.e. The rebel Trinamool Congress faction lead by Ritabrata Banerjee will hold its 21st July Martyrs' Day (as per Mamata) rally at Mayo Road, near the Gandhi statue in central Kolkata. This location was secured after the faction received administrative clearance from the Kolkata Police. 2.0       TMC (Mamata Loyalist) has not yet finalized where they will hold this rally on that day. Possible Location that will be granted is ‘HAZRA PARK’. Who will come?? Threat: ‘Egg Therapy and CHOR CHOR’ SLOGAN by public. 3.0       INC: May organize the 21 st July rally at Brigade Parade Ground. My question: 21 st July—you belong to whom to day? And—by any interpretation, it can’t be called “Martyrs' Day”!   NOTE: REFER MY EARLIER BLOG ON THIS DAY FURNISHED BELOW. https://sarasij1majumder.blogspot.com/2026/06/21st-july-shaheed-dibas.html
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ASSEMBLY ELECTION MP 2023

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

DATA:--

1.0 Chief Election Commissioner Rajiv Kumar said that there are 5.6 crore voters in 230 constituencies of Madhya Pradesh. Of these, 2.88 crore are male voters and 2.72 crore are female voters. A total of 22.36 lakh youths will be voting for the first time.

2.0 Last Election—BJP:128 Seats, INC: 97 seats. This time also it is a fight between BJP and INC.

3.0 NOVEMBER 17, 2023.Voter turnout at 71.16% by 5 p.m. Female voters stood at 71.14% and male voters at 71.19%.

4.0 MUSLIM VOTERS: Total Muslim Votes are about 40 Lakhs. They will vote for Congress, but it will not have any impact on result.

GROUND REALITIES:-

1.0 Fight used to be close, when SCINDIA was in CONGRESS.  Now Scindia is in BJP, Congress has lost at least 10% support.

2.0 At least in 20 Constituencies, SCINDIA RULES. May be more.

3.0 Congress couldn’t stich  an alliance with SP—and Akhilesh put up 40+ candidates.

4.0 Another I.N.D.I.A. ally AAP is contesting in 70+ seats. JD(U) in 10 seats.

5.0 3.0 & 4.0 together will cut opposition votes. INC will contest not only against BJP, but also against I.N.D.I.A. partners in 92 seats. Even if they cut 4% Votes, Congress will fall below 80 seats. The DIFFERENCE will mostly add to BJP’s tally.

6.0 Congress election has been steered by SCINDIA for quite some time. Lack of availability of his services now will be a HADICAP. Party’s election machinery can’t be overhauled so soon.

7.0 In the last election the difference of votes between BJP and Congress has been 1%. This 1% difference may balloon to 5+%  in favour of BJP because of the reasons explained above.

WHAT EMERGES:--

It is not understood how most of the opinion poll predicts Photo Finish, or Congress Majority. My assessment is BJP win, however thin the margin be.

Source:-

1.0 Data: EC.

2.0 Above is solely blogger’s opinion.

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