SARASIJ'S BLOG

NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||08-08-2026

Image
  NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||08-08-2026 SATURDAY| VOL—IV/2026/AUGUST OPINIONATED, FOR FREE CIRCULATION. न गतं कर्तुं कश्चिद् धनवान् , परिश्रमेण तु भविष्यं लभ्यते। No one is rich enough to buy the past; but with effort, the future can be won. A PAGE FROM HISTORY! *8 August – Quit India Movement Day* All India Congress Committee session in Bombay on 8 August, 1942, Mohandas Karamchand Gandhi launched the 'Quit India Movement'. It is also known as August Movement or August Kranti Movement. INDIA: (GOI, SWARAJYA, VISHWAMITRA, HINDU POST, INDIA TODAY). Vande Mataram will be played at the Red Fort on August 15, marking the first time the national song will feature as a scheduled item in the formal Independence Day programme, a defence ministry official said. It will be rendered immediately before the national anthem at the close of the Prime Minister’s address. The Parliament has passed the Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises Development (Amendment) Bill 2026, w...

 

ASSEMBLY ELECTION MP 2023

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

DATA:--

1.0 Chief Election Commissioner Rajiv Kumar said that there are 5.6 crore voters in 230 constituencies of Madhya Pradesh. Of these, 2.88 crore are male voters and 2.72 crore are female voters. A total of 22.36 lakh youths will be voting for the first time.

2.0 Last Election—BJP:128 Seats, INC: 97 seats. This time also it is a fight between BJP and INC.

3.0 NOVEMBER 17, 2023.Voter turnout at 71.16% by 5 p.m. Female voters stood at 71.14% and male voters at 71.19%.

4.0 MUSLIM VOTERS: Total Muslim Votes are about 40 Lakhs. They will vote for Congress, but it will not have any impact on result.

GROUND REALITIES:-

1.0 Fight used to be close, when SCINDIA was in CONGRESS.  Now Scindia is in BJP, Congress has lost at least 10% support.

2.0 At least in 20 Constituencies, SCINDIA RULES. May be more.

3.0 Congress couldn’t stich  an alliance with SP—and Akhilesh put up 40+ candidates.

4.0 Another I.N.D.I.A. ally AAP is contesting in 70+ seats. JD(U) in 10 seats.

5.0 3.0 & 4.0 together will cut opposition votes. INC will contest not only against BJP, but also against I.N.D.I.A. partners in 92 seats. Even if they cut 4% Votes, Congress will fall below 80 seats. The DIFFERENCE will mostly add to BJP’s tally.

6.0 Congress election has been steered by SCINDIA for quite some time. Lack of availability of his services now will be a HADICAP. Party’s election machinery can’t be overhauled so soon.

7.0 In the last election the difference of votes between BJP and Congress has been 1%. This 1% difference may balloon to 5+%  in favour of BJP because of the reasons explained above.

WHAT EMERGES:--

It is not understood how most of the opinion poll predicts Photo Finish, or Congress Majority. My assessment is BJP win, however thin the margin be.

Source:-

1.0 Data: EC.

2.0 Above is solely blogger’s opinion.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

THE STORY OF LOVELY KHATUN

KNOW THY LEADER AND IDENTIFY ENEMY