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TMC—A FEW THOUGHTS

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  TMC—A FEW THOUGHTS SARASIJ MAJUMDER Let us forget about ‘AITMC’—that was a pipe dream of Mamata Devi. TMC was, and still is a ‘REGIONAL POLITICAL PARTY’—Period. And it lost heavily in last provincial election in Bengal. But that doesn’t mean it became irrelevant. It is still Opposition party in Bengal assembly, and present CM is treating the officially   honest MLAs with respect, and involving them in Administration. But—problem is elsewhere. Party members including elected representatives are thinking that TMC SHIP is sinking, and they want to get out enmasse, and join in other parties, like   INC, CPI(M) etc.- as it seems. BJP has closed its doors. That is BAD! Those parties are no less corrupt, and worse! TMC, if it can turn around, will be better than them. Senior Leaders like Kakoli Devi, Kalyan Babu, Firhad Bhai shall get together, take control of the party, and make Mamata Devi irrelevant. You may get help from unexpected source! I came to know ...
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ASSEMBLY ELECTION MP 2023

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

DATA:--

1.0 Chief Election Commissioner Rajiv Kumar said that there are 5.6 crore voters in 230 constituencies of Madhya Pradesh. Of these, 2.88 crore are male voters and 2.72 crore are female voters. A total of 22.36 lakh youths will be voting for the first time.

2.0 Last Election—BJP:128 Seats, INC: 97 seats. This time also it is a fight between BJP and INC.

3.0 NOVEMBER 17, 2023.Voter turnout at 71.16% by 5 p.m. Female voters stood at 71.14% and male voters at 71.19%.

4.0 MUSLIM VOTERS: Total Muslim Votes are about 40 Lakhs. They will vote for Congress, but it will not have any impact on result.

GROUND REALITIES:-

1.0 Fight used to be close, when SCINDIA was in CONGRESS.  Now Scindia is in BJP, Congress has lost at least 10% support.

2.0 At least in 20 Constituencies, SCINDIA RULES. May be more.

3.0 Congress couldn’t stich  an alliance with SP—and Akhilesh put up 40+ candidates.

4.0 Another I.N.D.I.A. ally AAP is contesting in 70+ seats. JD(U) in 10 seats.

5.0 3.0 & 4.0 together will cut opposition votes. INC will contest not only against BJP, but also against I.N.D.I.A. partners in 92 seats. Even if they cut 4% Votes, Congress will fall below 80 seats. The DIFFERENCE will mostly add to BJP’s tally.

6.0 Congress election has been steered by SCINDIA for quite some time. Lack of availability of his services now will be a HADICAP. Party’s election machinery can’t be overhauled so soon.

7.0 In the last election the difference of votes between BJP and Congress has been 1%. This 1% difference may balloon to 5+%  in favour of BJP because of the reasons explained above.

WHAT EMERGES:--

It is not understood how most of the opinion poll predicts Photo Finish, or Congress Majority. My assessment is BJP win, however thin the margin be.

Source:-

1.0 Data: EC.

2.0 Above is solely blogger’s opinion.

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