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NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||06th MAY2026

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  NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||06 th MAY2026 WEDNESDAY| VOL—V/2026/MAY OPINIONATED, FOR FREE CIRCULATION. अङ्गारः शतधौतेन मालिनत्वं न मुञ्चति ," ENGLISH: BLACK WILL TAKE NO OTHER HUE. INDIA: (GOI, SWARAJYA, VISHWAMITRA, HINDU POST, INDIA TODAY). BENGAL FILES:- PRESENT PROTEM CM OF BENGAL REFUSED TO RESIGN, AFTER HER POLITICAL PARTY LOST MAJORITY, AND SHE HERSELF LOST ELECTION FROM HER CONSTITUENCY . SHE HAS DECLARED THIS BY CALLING A GROUP OF REPORTERS YESTERDAY. THIS PROBLEM CAN BE SOLVED. BUT IF SHE FILES A PETITION IN SC CLAIMING ‘MALAFIDE’ IN CONDUCT OF ELECTION AGAINST EC,   AND SC GRANTS A HEARING—THERE MAY BE SOME DELAY IN OATH TAKING OF NEW GOVERNMENT IN BENGAL. FROM 7 th MAY, AS FAR AS I LEGALLY UNDERSTAND, SHE WILL BE REDUCED TO AN ORDINARY CITIZEN. Indian American leaders across the US have welcomed the BJP’s victory in West Bengal, calling it a historic mandate and a turning point for governance, security and development in the state. REST OF...
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ASSEMBLY ELECTION MP 2023

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

DATA:--

1.0 Chief Election Commissioner Rajiv Kumar said that there are 5.6 crore voters in 230 constituencies of Madhya Pradesh. Of these, 2.88 crore are male voters and 2.72 crore are female voters. A total of 22.36 lakh youths will be voting for the first time.

2.0 Last Election—BJP:128 Seats, INC: 97 seats. This time also it is a fight between BJP and INC.

3.0 NOVEMBER 17, 2023.Voter turnout at 71.16% by 5 p.m. Female voters stood at 71.14% and male voters at 71.19%.

4.0 MUSLIM VOTERS: Total Muslim Votes are about 40 Lakhs. They will vote for Congress, but it will not have any impact on result.

GROUND REALITIES:-

1.0 Fight used to be close, when SCINDIA was in CONGRESS.  Now Scindia is in BJP, Congress has lost at least 10% support.

2.0 At least in 20 Constituencies, SCINDIA RULES. May be more.

3.0 Congress couldn’t stich  an alliance with SP—and Akhilesh put up 40+ candidates.

4.0 Another I.N.D.I.A. ally AAP is contesting in 70+ seats. JD(U) in 10 seats.

5.0 3.0 & 4.0 together will cut opposition votes. INC will contest not only against BJP, but also against I.N.D.I.A. partners in 92 seats. Even if they cut 4% Votes, Congress will fall below 80 seats. The DIFFERENCE will mostly add to BJP’s tally.

6.0 Congress election has been steered by SCINDIA for quite some time. Lack of availability of his services now will be a HADICAP. Party’s election machinery can’t be overhauled so soon.

7.0 In the last election the difference of votes between BJP and Congress has been 1%. This 1% difference may balloon to 5+%  in favour of BJP because of the reasons explained above.

WHAT EMERGES:--

It is not understood how most of the opinion poll predicts Photo Finish, or Congress Majority. My assessment is BJP win, however thin the margin be.

Source:-

1.0 Data: EC.

2.0 Above is solely blogger’s opinion.

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