SARASIJ'S BLOG

NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||13th MAY2026

Image
  NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||13 th MAY2026 WEDNESDAY| VOL—V/2026/MAY OPINIONATED, FOR FREE CIRCULATION. * कष्टः खलु पराश्रयः।* Dependence is indeed painful.   INDIA: (GOI, SWARAJYA, VISHWAMITRA, HINDU POST, INDIA TODAY). BENGAL FILES: The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) has taken over the investigation into the murder of Chandranath Rath, personal aide to West Bengal Chief Minister. Sujit Bose: Arrested on May 11, 2026, following 10 hours of interrogation by the ED regarding allegations of accepting bribes for jobs and acquiring property through illicit means. Garga Chatterjee: Arrested by the Cyber Crime division for making provocative statements and spreading rumours about election machinery. Several round of ammunitions recovered from his house. Madan Mitra got himself admitted in BELLVIEW Hospital. All newly elected ministers started their work with right spirit. Z+ Category security   is retained with Ex CM of Bengal. Her ‘VAIPO’ is...
Post a Comment

 

ASSEMBLY ELECTION MP 2023

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

DATA:--

1.0 Chief Election Commissioner Rajiv Kumar said that there are 5.6 crore voters in 230 constituencies of Madhya Pradesh. Of these, 2.88 crore are male voters and 2.72 crore are female voters. A total of 22.36 lakh youths will be voting for the first time.

2.0 Last Election—BJP:128 Seats, INC: 97 seats. This time also it is a fight between BJP and INC.

3.0 NOVEMBER 17, 2023.Voter turnout at 71.16% by 5 p.m. Female voters stood at 71.14% and male voters at 71.19%.

4.0 MUSLIM VOTERS: Total Muslim Votes are about 40 Lakhs. They will vote for Congress, but it will not have any impact on result.

GROUND REALITIES:-

1.0 Fight used to be close, when SCINDIA was in CONGRESS.  Now Scindia is in BJP, Congress has lost at least 10% support.

2.0 At least in 20 Constituencies, SCINDIA RULES. May be more.

3.0 Congress couldn’t stich  an alliance with SP—and Akhilesh put up 40+ candidates.

4.0 Another I.N.D.I.A. ally AAP is contesting in 70+ seats. JD(U) in 10 seats.

5.0 3.0 & 4.0 together will cut opposition votes. INC will contest not only against BJP, but also against I.N.D.I.A. partners in 92 seats. Even if they cut 4% Votes, Congress will fall below 80 seats. The DIFFERENCE will mostly add to BJP’s tally.

6.0 Congress election has been steered by SCINDIA for quite some time. Lack of availability of his services now will be a HADICAP. Party’s election machinery can’t be overhauled so soon.

7.0 In the last election the difference of votes between BJP and Congress has been 1%. This 1% difference may balloon to 5+%  in favour of BJP because of the reasons explained above.

WHAT EMERGES:--

It is not understood how most of the opinion poll predicts Photo Finish, or Congress Majority. My assessment is BJP win, however thin the margin be.

Source:-

1.0 Data: EC.

2.0 Above is solely blogger’s opinion.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Image
  REVIVAL OF ARVARI RIVER What a Leader, and People can do. SARASIJ MAJUMDER   REVIVAL OF ARVARI RIVER— Arvari river is a small river, may be the smallest, in the ALWAR,   Indian state of Rajasthan. The 90 km.   long river flows through the Alwar District of Rajasthan. It got dried, and   was revived in 1990. It remained dry for 60 years. The turnaround started in 1986, when people of Bhanota- Kolyala village with   the help of Tarun Bharat Sangha, managed by Rajendra Singh, constructed a   JOHAD, (earthen check dam) at the source of the dried river; following this,   villages that lay in its catchment area, and along the dried river bed, they also built tiny earthen dams, the largest being a 244 mt. long and 7 mt. High Concrete dam, most of them were in the Aravalli hills; eventually when the number of dams reached 375, the river started to flow again in 1990, after remaining dry for over 60 years. Villagers talk about Arvari's rebi...
Read more

SIR—WEST BENGAL ||| WHAT IS REVEALED

Image
  SIR—WEST BENGAL WHAT IS REVEALED SARASIJ MAJUMDER In West Bengal, during the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) process, massive irregularities have been detected in the 2002 voter list during progeny-mapping or identification of new voters based on the names of parents or relatives. Although the first phase of the SIR has ended, the Election Commission continues to cross-check and repeatedly scrutinize the submitted forms. During this process, information about these “logical discrepancies” has come to light, according to data released by the office of the Chief Electoral Officer of the state.   1.0 Names of fathers of 85 lakhs 1thousand and 486 voters are incorrect or mismatched, which accounts for 11.09% of the total voters. 2.0   For 24lakhs 21thousand 133 voters, the number of children recorded is more than six. 3.0 Major inconsistencies have also been observed in the age differences between parents and children. In 11 lakh 95 thousand 230 cases, the age ...
Read more

EXIT POLL: BENGAL-2026

Image
  EXIT POLL: BENGAL-2026 SARASIJ MAJUMDER   PHASE:--1 One hundred and fifty-two constituencies ( 152) across 16 districts voted in the first phase of the West Bengal Assembly polls on April 23. 54 of these seats are spread across the region where Muslim population is quite sizeable. These seats, which are spread across the Murshidabad, Malda, Uttar Dinajpur, and Birbhum districts, Muslims overwhelmingly voted for the Trinamool Congress in 2021 — where TMC won in 49 compared to just five for the Bharatiya Janata Party. Muslims, also voted in large, very large number, this time, in my opinion,—to show their anger over SIR, which many of them were told as ‘Anti-Muslim Exercise’ by BJP. But—they always vote beyond 90%, hence additional effect will not be much. Five of these constituencies saw a very sharp rise in turnout from 2021. Raghunathganj in Murshidabad had the biggest jump, going from 76.4 to 96.9 per cent. Jangipur, also in Murshidabad, increased from 77.8 t...
Read more