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NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||25-10-2026

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  NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||25-10-2026 SUNDAY| VOL—IV/2026/OCTOBER OPINIONATED, FOR FREE CIRCULATION. श्रेयान्स्वधर्मो विगुण: परधर्मात्स्वनुष्ठितात् | स्वधर्मे निधनं श्रेय: परधर्मो भयावह: || GEETA—Chapter 3, Verse 35. Lord Krishna teaches Arjuna that being successful   in an artificial, copied life leaves the soul completely hollow. Conversely, following your own true path brings genuine spiritual evolution and peace.   INDIA: (GOI, SWARAJYA, VISHWAMITRA, HINDU POST, INDIA TODAY). PM Shri Narendra Modi will today inaugurate Arvind Ltd.’s new, predominantly women-led garment manufacturing facility in Varanasi at about 11 am, and at about 1 pm witness the Air Force Day Aerial Display-2026, ‘Wings over Ganges’, at Namo Ghat as Chief Guest. At about 4:45 pm he will inaugurate the RBI’s Data Centre and Cybersecurity Training Institute in Bhubaneswar. PM Shri Narendra Modi will share his thoughts in the 139th episode of his monthly radio programme Mann Ki B...
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ASSEMBLY ELECTION MP 2023

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

DATA:--

1.0 Chief Election Commissioner Rajiv Kumar said that there are 5.6 crore voters in 230 constituencies of Madhya Pradesh. Of these, 2.88 crore are male voters and 2.72 crore are female voters. A total of 22.36 lakh youths will be voting for the first time.

2.0 Last Election—BJP:128 Seats, INC: 97 seats. This time also it is a fight between BJP and INC.

3.0 NOVEMBER 17, 2023.Voter turnout at 71.16% by 5 p.m. Female voters stood at 71.14% and male voters at 71.19%.

4.0 MUSLIM VOTERS: Total Muslim Votes are about 40 Lakhs. They will vote for Congress, but it will not have any impact on result.

GROUND REALITIES:-

1.0 Fight used to be close, when SCINDIA was in CONGRESS.  Now Scindia is in BJP, Congress has lost at least 10% support.

2.0 At least in 20 Constituencies, SCINDIA RULES. May be more.

3.0 Congress couldn’t stich  an alliance with SP—and Akhilesh put up 40+ candidates.

4.0 Another I.N.D.I.A. ally AAP is contesting in 70+ seats. JD(U) in 10 seats.

5.0 3.0 & 4.0 together will cut opposition votes. INC will contest not only against BJP, but also against I.N.D.I.A. partners in 92 seats. Even if they cut 4% Votes, Congress will fall below 80 seats. The DIFFERENCE will mostly add to BJP’s tally.

6.0 Congress election has been steered by SCINDIA for quite some time. Lack of availability of his services now will be a HADICAP. Party’s election machinery can’t be overhauled so soon.

7.0 In the last election the difference of votes between BJP and Congress has been 1%. This 1% difference may balloon to 5+%  in favour of BJP because of the reasons explained above.

WHAT EMERGES:--

It is not understood how most of the opinion poll predicts Photo Finish, or Congress Majority. My assessment is BJP win, however thin the margin be.

Source:-

1.0 Data: EC.

2.0 Above is solely blogger’s opinion.

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