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NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||30th MAY 2026

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  NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||30 th MAY 2026 SATURDAY| VOL—V/2026/ MAY OPINIONATED, FOR FREE CIRCULATION. “ यतो धर्मस्ततो जयः" The Sanskrit phrase " यतो धर्मस्ततो जयः" ( Yato Dharmastato Jayaḥ) from the Mahabharata translates to "Where there is Dharma (righteousness/justice), there is Victory". It is a well-known verse with 13 occurrences in the epic, associated with the principle that moral conduct triumphs. INDIA: (GOI, SWARAJYA, VISHWAMITRA, HINDU POST, INDIA TODAY). AAP wins most wards in Punjab local polls; Opposition alleges misuse of govt. machinery. A Changing of the Guard in the CPI(M)! 70-Year-Old 'Baby' Replaces Yechury as Party Secretary; Karat and Others Step Down from Leadership.   CPM has become Kerala’s regional party. Union Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan said that a national seed reserve of 1 lakh 74 thousand quintals has been established to ensure the seed availability to the farmers. He was addressing the me...
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ASSEMBLY ELECTION MP 2023

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

DATA:--

1.0 Chief Election Commissioner Rajiv Kumar said that there are 5.6 crore voters in 230 constituencies of Madhya Pradesh. Of these, 2.88 crore are male voters and 2.72 crore are female voters. A total of 22.36 lakh youths will be voting for the first time.

2.0 Last Election—BJP:128 Seats, INC: 97 seats. This time also it is a fight between BJP and INC.

3.0 NOVEMBER 17, 2023.Voter turnout at 71.16% by 5 p.m. Female voters stood at 71.14% and male voters at 71.19%.

4.0 MUSLIM VOTERS: Total Muslim Votes are about 40 Lakhs. They will vote for Congress, but it will not have any impact on result.

GROUND REALITIES:-

1.0 Fight used to be close, when SCINDIA was in CONGRESS.  Now Scindia is in BJP, Congress has lost at least 10% support.

2.0 At least in 20 Constituencies, SCINDIA RULES. May be more.

3.0 Congress couldn’t stich  an alliance with SP—and Akhilesh put up 40+ candidates.

4.0 Another I.N.D.I.A. ally AAP is contesting in 70+ seats. JD(U) in 10 seats.

5.0 3.0 & 4.0 together will cut opposition votes. INC will contest not only against BJP, but also against I.N.D.I.A. partners in 92 seats. Even if they cut 4% Votes, Congress will fall below 80 seats. The DIFFERENCE will mostly add to BJP’s tally.

6.0 Congress election has been steered by SCINDIA for quite some time. Lack of availability of his services now will be a HADICAP. Party’s election machinery can’t be overhauled so soon.

7.0 In the last election the difference of votes between BJP and Congress has been 1%. This 1% difference may balloon to 5+%  in favour of BJP because of the reasons explained above.

WHAT EMERGES:--

It is not understood how most of the opinion poll predicts Photo Finish, or Congress Majority. My assessment is BJP win, however thin the margin be.

Source:-

1.0 Data: EC.

2.0 Above is solely blogger’s opinion.

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