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IRON LADY OF MANIPUR & HER FAST

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  IRON LADY OF MANIPUR & HER FAST. SARASIJ MAJUMDER   Irom Sharmila Chanu was born on March 14, 1972, in the village of Kongpal Khaidem Leikai, Porompat, located in the Imphal East District of Manipur, India. Family Background &Parents: She was born to Irom Chanu Nanda, an attendant at the state veterinary hospital, and Irom Sakhi, a homemaker. Her father was highly respected locally for his dedication to curing neighbourhood animals, inspiring Sharmila's lifelong love for animals and nature. Siblings: She was the youngest of nine children in a modest Meitei family. Her mother was 44 years old when she gave birth to her. Childhood & Personality: Social Disposition: Growing up within a massive 17-member joint family, Sharmila was an average student who frequently preferred to stay quiet and aloof from the household bustle. The "Fair One": Her distinct appearance earned her the childhood nickname "Mengoubi," a Manipuri term translating ...
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ASSEMBLY ELECTION MP 2023

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

DATA:--

1.0 Chief Election Commissioner Rajiv Kumar said that there are 5.6 crore voters in 230 constituencies of Madhya Pradesh. Of these, 2.88 crore are male voters and 2.72 crore are female voters. A total of 22.36 lakh youths will be voting for the first time.

2.0 Last Election—BJP:128 Seats, INC: 97 seats. This time also it is a fight between BJP and INC.

3.0 NOVEMBER 17, 2023.Voter turnout at 71.16% by 5 p.m. Female voters stood at 71.14% and male voters at 71.19%.

4.0 MUSLIM VOTERS: Total Muslim Votes are about 40 Lakhs. They will vote for Congress, but it will not have any impact on result.

GROUND REALITIES:-

1.0 Fight used to be close, when SCINDIA was in CONGRESS.  Now Scindia is in BJP, Congress has lost at least 10% support.

2.0 At least in 20 Constituencies, SCINDIA RULES. May be more.

3.0 Congress couldn’t stich  an alliance with SP—and Akhilesh put up 40+ candidates.

4.0 Another I.N.D.I.A. ally AAP is contesting in 70+ seats. JD(U) in 10 seats.

5.0 3.0 & 4.0 together will cut opposition votes. INC will contest not only against BJP, but also against I.N.D.I.A. partners in 92 seats. Even if they cut 4% Votes, Congress will fall below 80 seats. The DIFFERENCE will mostly add to BJP’s tally.

6.0 Congress election has been steered by SCINDIA for quite some time. Lack of availability of his services now will be a HADICAP. Party’s election machinery can’t be overhauled so soon.

7.0 In the last election the difference of votes between BJP and Congress has been 1%. This 1% difference may balloon to 5+%  in favour of BJP because of the reasons explained above.

WHAT EMERGES:--

It is not understood how most of the opinion poll predicts Photo Finish, or Congress Majority. My assessment is BJP win, however thin the margin be.

Source:-

1.0 Data: EC.

2.0 Above is solely blogger’s opinion.

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