SARASIJ'S BLOG

NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||08th MAY 2026

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  NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||08 th   MAY 2026 FRIDAY| VOL—V/2026/ MAY OPINIONATED, FOR FREE CIRCULATION. * कष्टः खलु पराश्रयः।* Dependence is indeed painful.   INDIA: (GOI, SWARAJYA, VISHWAMITRA, HINDU POST, INDIA TODAY). BENGAL FILES: Late Mr. Chandranath Rath, the close aide of BJP leader Mr. Shuvendu Adhikari was shot dead in a professional ambush   in West Bengal's North 24 Parganas district on 6 th night while returning home. He served in the Indian Air Force before   becoming one of the opposition leader's most trusted political associates. Mr. Adhikary made him in-charge of Bhawanipore constituency to look after his campaign, from where outgoing CM Ms. Mamata Banerjee lost the election to Mr. Shuvendu Adhikary. It is being considered that it was a political murder, executed by Supari Killers coming from other province(s), and the assailants escaped by AIR. Local supports are arrested. CCTV footage available throws some information. SI...
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ASSEMBLY ELECTION MP 2023

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

DATA:--

1.0 Chief Election Commissioner Rajiv Kumar said that there are 5.6 crore voters in 230 constituencies of Madhya Pradesh. Of these, 2.88 crore are male voters and 2.72 crore are female voters. A total of 22.36 lakh youths will be voting for the first time.

2.0 Last Election—BJP:128 Seats, INC: 97 seats. This time also it is a fight between BJP and INC.

3.0 NOVEMBER 17, 2023.Voter turnout at 71.16% by 5 p.m. Female voters stood at 71.14% and male voters at 71.19%.

4.0 MUSLIM VOTERS: Total Muslim Votes are about 40 Lakhs. They will vote for Congress, but it will not have any impact on result.

GROUND REALITIES:-

1.0 Fight used to be close, when SCINDIA was in CONGRESS.  Now Scindia is in BJP, Congress has lost at least 10% support.

2.0 At least in 20 Constituencies, SCINDIA RULES. May be more.

3.0 Congress couldn’t stich  an alliance with SP—and Akhilesh put up 40+ candidates.

4.0 Another I.N.D.I.A. ally AAP is contesting in 70+ seats. JD(U) in 10 seats.

5.0 3.0 & 4.0 together will cut opposition votes. INC will contest not only against BJP, but also against I.N.D.I.A. partners in 92 seats. Even if they cut 4% Votes, Congress will fall below 80 seats. The DIFFERENCE will mostly add to BJP’s tally.

6.0 Congress election has been steered by SCINDIA for quite some time. Lack of availability of his services now will be a HADICAP. Party’s election machinery can’t be overhauled so soon.

7.0 In the last election the difference of votes between BJP and Congress has been 1%. This 1% difference may balloon to 5+%  in favour of BJP because of the reasons explained above.

WHAT EMERGES:--

It is not understood how most of the opinion poll predicts Photo Finish, or Congress Majority. My assessment is BJP win, however thin the margin be.

Source:-

1.0 Data: EC.

2.0 Above is solely blogger’s opinion.

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