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KNOW THY LEADER AND IDENTYFY ENEMY

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  KNOW THY LEADER AND   IDENTYFY ENEMY SARASIJ MAJUMDER Think about it—the man who has effectively FIRST MARGINALIZED   AND THEN ALMOST ERASED Arvind Kejriwal (AK-49) & HIS   PARTY without even uttering his name. AK-49 was once a ‘DEEP STATE’ man, later dumped. Uddhav Bhai is gasping for political life!! Congress party IS LIVING SOMETIME IN ICU , SOMETIME IN VENTILATOR for the last 12 years . And who ensured that elections were conducted relatively peacefully in a state like West Bengal—where, at one time, voting was synonymous with violence, gunfire, bombings, and loss of hundreds of lives. Who, and whose party and whose Leaders achieved the above? Introspect. Who revoked Article 370—a decision that Political Pundits & Critics once claimed would start with   a bloodbath in Kashmir, ultimately end with getting Kashmir joining with PAKISTAN. Well—the situation is different!! Who has largely brought the menace of stone-pelters in Kashmi...
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ASSEMBLY ELECTION MP 2023

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

DATA:--

1.0 Chief Election Commissioner Rajiv Kumar said that there are 5.6 crore voters in 230 constituencies of Madhya Pradesh. Of these, 2.88 crore are male voters and 2.72 crore are female voters. A total of 22.36 lakh youths will be voting for the first time.

2.0 Last Election—BJP:128 Seats, INC: 97 seats. This time also it is a fight between BJP and INC.

3.0 NOVEMBER 17, 2023.Voter turnout at 71.16% by 5 p.m. Female voters stood at 71.14% and male voters at 71.19%.

4.0 MUSLIM VOTERS: Total Muslim Votes are about 40 Lakhs. They will vote for Congress, but it will not have any impact on result.

GROUND REALITIES:-

1.0 Fight used to be close, when SCINDIA was in CONGRESS.  Now Scindia is in BJP, Congress has lost at least 10% support.

2.0 At least in 20 Constituencies, SCINDIA RULES. May be more.

3.0 Congress couldn’t stich  an alliance with SP—and Akhilesh put up 40+ candidates.

4.0 Another I.N.D.I.A. ally AAP is contesting in 70+ seats. JD(U) in 10 seats.

5.0 3.0 & 4.0 together will cut opposition votes. INC will contest not only against BJP, but also against I.N.D.I.A. partners in 92 seats. Even if they cut 4% Votes, Congress will fall below 80 seats. The DIFFERENCE will mostly add to BJP’s tally.

6.0 Congress election has been steered by SCINDIA for quite some time. Lack of availability of his services now will be a HADICAP. Party’s election machinery can’t be overhauled so soon.

7.0 In the last election the difference of votes between BJP and Congress has been 1%. This 1% difference may balloon to 5+%  in favour of BJP because of the reasons explained above.

WHAT EMERGES:--

It is not understood how most of the opinion poll predicts Photo Finish, or Congress Majority. My assessment is BJP win, however thin the margin be.

Source:-

1.0 Data: EC.

2.0 Above is solely blogger’s opinion.

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