SARASIJ'S BLOG

NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||12/07/2025. ||| SATURDAY| VOL—IV/2025/JULY/567

  NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||12/07/2025. SATURDAY | VOL—IV/2025/JULY/567 OPINIONATED, FOR FREE CIRCULATION. य ईर्षुःपरवित्तेषु रुपे वीर्ये कुलान्वये , सुख सौभाग्य सत्कारे तस्य व्याधिरनन्तकः ॥ Meaning:- "The person who is jealous and hates the wealth, beauty, valor, family, happiness, good fortune and honour of others is incurably ill. And there is no cure for his disease."   INDIA: (GOI, SWARAJYA, VISHWAMITRA, HINDU POST, INDIA TODAY). 1.       The 16th Rozgar Mela will be held at 47 locations across the country:  PM Modi will distribute more than 51 thousand appointment letters to newly appointed youth in various Government departments and organisations through video conferencing today.  2.       Home Minister Amit Shah chaired a high-level review meeting on Yamuna rejuvenation in New Delhi yesterday.  3.       The Government is planning to roll out a one th...
Post a Comment

 

THE LESSONS OF 2004 ELECTION

HOW, and WHY BJP LOST

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” – George Santayana, The Life of Reason, 1905.

.

  1. In 2004 election, BJP won 138 seats and Congress won 145 seats. The difference was just 7 seats but Congress won the psychological & electoral battle. UPA was formed soon after the 2004 Indian general election when no party had won a majority. The then RULING Bhartiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) won 181 seats of 544, as opposed to the UPA's tally of 218 seats.
  2. The Left Front with 59 MPs (excluding the speaker of the Lok Sabha), the Samajwadi Party with 39 MPs and the Bahujan Samaj Party with 19 MPs were other significant Parties that supported UPA to form a Minority Government and supported it at various times in PARLIAMENT. Dr. Manmohan Singh was the P.M. by choice to by-pass an inner struggle in Congress.
  3. Let us review the causes which lead to NDA’s defeat in 2004 Election.
  4. BJP got stuck on Sonia's foreign origin issue whereas India had moved beyond it much before.
  5. BJP was overconfident and they were not able to see the undercurrent, and incumbency working against them. The “India Shining” campaign turned out to be disastrous. NDA leaders didn't show much respect for opposition party and its leaders.
  6. BJP fared  very badly in selecting allies. Its alliance with AIADMK failed to win a single seat in Tamil Nadu. DMK had dumped BJP for Congress just before the election.
  7. The magic of Chandrababu Naidu faded completely and Congress won 30+ LS seats from AP alone. It was said that it was TDP chief who blackmailed/persuaded BJP top brass for holding an early election.
  8. Congress + RJD + LJP proved to be too formidable an alliance  against BJP + JDU in Bihar. Even Nitish Kumar lost his own parliamentary seat. LJP had switched the side a few months before the election.
  9.  The opposition alliance humiliated BJP in Jharkhand also.
  10. BJP lost Delhi very badly. They managed a respectable show only in MP  & Rajasthan.
  11. BJP was reduced to number 3 in most populous state of UP with SP winning close to 35 seats. Many big BJP leaders like Murli Manohar Joshi, Vinay Katiyar etc. lost their seats.
  12. Congress + NCP were able to held ground against BJP + Shiv Sena in Maharashtra.
  13.  Even in Modi's Gujarat, Congress managed to win 12 LS seats.
  14. Left front fared very well in 2004 election and they managed to win  60 seats (their best tally in most of Elections). They swept all seats in Kerala and performed very well in West Bengal.
  15. The 2002 Gujarat riots proved to be final coffin of NDA. The tapes and photos of the riots were played again and  again in minority dominated areas. This paved way for consolidation, and tactical voting by minority community against BJP.

THE LESSONS SHALL NOT BE FORGOTTEN, WHILE CHALKING OUT 2024 ELECTION STRATEGY...

Reference:

1.0 DATA--GOI publications.

2.0   Digital copies of 2004 editions of HT- Around Election issues.

3.0 PHOTO-- ABP

 

 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

OPERATION SINDOOR ||| ECONOMIC LOSSES OF PAKISTAN

Image
  OPERATION SINDOOR ECONOMIC LOSSES OF PAKISTAN SARASIJ MAJUMDER It will be difficult for Pakistan to come out of the loss it suffered in this 4-day KINETIC WAR, fought only in the airspace, involving Fighter Jets, Missiles, and DRONES as attacking weapons. Pakistan claims that J-10C jets, equipped with PL-15 missiles, were used in combat, and that they downed multiple Indian Rafale and other fighter jets. GOI has not accepted any loss of Fighter Jet. No image of Rafael lost is available. GOI is not declaring the HITS it inflicted upon Pakistan. Even then, I have pieced together the information and provided a picture. A. The expenses due to direct losses of HARDWARE may be divided into the following items: - 1.0 Fighter Jets: -- May be 10 Numbers. 4-F16 as a combat loss. 2 Nos. Mirage 2000 and 4 Nos. F16, possibly due to the hit it received when parked on the Air Bases. However, this figure could be more.   Pakistan's retired Air Marshal Masood Akhtar public...
Read more
Image
  FARMERS’ PROTESTS||CAA-NRC A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS W.R.T. RECENT BANGLADESH MOVEMENT SARASIJ MAJUMDER USA and it’s alleys scripted earlier a similar text to remove MODI-BJP—NDA, and launched FARMERS’AGITATION, CAA, NRC   agitation, at different parts of INDIA, and both, TMC, and Farmers gave a call—“DELHI CHOLO”. Khalistanis Joined. AAP, INC, other Oppositions, Paid Media, URBAN NAXALS, LUTEN’s GANG, Secularists, Le- Liberendoos… all provided support behind it. A part of purchased social media also played a BIG ROLE. The purchased ECO SYSTEM, all applied full force---- “PURA TAGAT LAGAYA THA”. BUT IT FAILED. The aim, and script was the  old text ,   “ TO CREATE ARAB SPRING” in INDIA,   which have many social, cultural, and linguistic fault lines. The experiment succeeded in Bangladesh, later. But there were few differences, due to which the script failed in INDIA:- 1.0 A lot many Indians are MUCH MORE  MATURED, not have cheap emotions, and ...
Read more
Image
  5 TH AUGUST -2024||BANGLADESH USA—PAKISTAN ANGLE THE FIRST ALERT: Russia had sent several signals, much before the STORM. The spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia "Maria Zakharova" said in a press briefing that if the Sheikh Hasina government comes to power in the next elections in Bangladesh, the United States will use all its powers to overthrow the Sheikh Hasina government. The spokesman of the Russian Foreign Ministry said that the United States would create a scenario similar to the "Arab Spring". Students of universities, colleges, schools will be used to re-create the 'Arab Spring'. Source: The Moscow Times . RAW, off course was keeping track of everything,, and sharing information with MADAM. THESE ARE THE CAUSES : Now let us review USA angle.   For that, we must remember 6 things, as listed below: 1.0 USA has entered into a COLD WAR with CHINA to retain Global Supremacy. And failed in taking control of HONG-KO...
Read more