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ELECTION WEST BENGAL—2026

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  ELECTION WEST BENGAL—2026 SARASIJ MAJUMDER BAKGROUND DATA: 1.0 SIR removed 91 Lakh GHOST voters. Unfortunately—some genuine Matuas got inside the net.   Ignoring Matua voters—most of these GHOSTS were casting votes for TMC. 2.0 Election 2021: BJP Won 77 seats, and in 65 seats, they lost by a thin margin ; and in another 26 seats, they lost by a margin upto 11,000. If we superimpose SIR on these lost seats—BJP may win 77+65+26=168 seats. 3.0 Election 2024: BJP was ahead in 92 assembly constituencies. In 42 constituencies, they were behind within a margin upto 5,000; and in 32, within a margin upto 11,000. Again—if we apply SIR—the number is 166.   The result is fairly consistent, and data sources are listed below. Mr. Pranay Roy made a forecast of 150 seats in favour of BJP in a You Tube in circulation. Faludi Satta Bazar recently speaks about 180 in favour of BJP. TMC’S ELECTION GAME: If we review TMC’s election strategy, and execution—it is fairly simple....

 

AFGHANISTAN OCCUPATION

WHY RUSSIA LEFT

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

There are multiple reasons for why the Soviets lost in Afghanistan.

The Soviets mainly intervened in Afghanistan to support the communist government against insurgent groups (aka the Mujahideen), who were covertly backed by the US, UK, Pakistan, Iran, China and Saudi Arabia.

The main reasons for their defeat are the following:

·         Guerrilla Warfare: Fighting an insurgency that hides and operates in the countryside isn’t the same as fighting a conventional army in an open battlefield. Just like the Vietcong rebels who fought against the US in South East Asia, the Mujahideen used effective guerrilla tactics against Soviet forces. They used hit-and-run attacks, ambushes, and sabotage to wear down the Soviet military.

·         Covert Foreign Support: As mentioned earlier, the Mujahideen rebellion enjoyed support from external sources, with the majority of it coming from the world’s top superpower: United States, and its allies like the UK, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. All of these countries provided weapons, training, and funding, which bolstered the insurgency their struggle against the Soviet occupiers. It’s largely believed that the famous stinger missile being provided by the CIA to help shoot down Russian helicopters was what turned things around for the Afghans.

·         Terrain and Climate: Afghanistan's rugged terrain and harsh climate posed significant challenges for the Soviet military. The mountainous terrain provided natural cover for guerrilla fighters, making it difficult for the Soviets to maintain control over vast areas of the country.

·         Economic Burden: The war resulted in a heavy economic burden for the Soviet Union. The cost of maintaining a large military presence in Afghanistan, along with the expenses of supplying troops and equipment, strained the Soviet economy and contributed to domestic discontent.

·         Domestic Opposition: The war had an impact on the Soviet public similar to how Vietnam impacted the American public in the 1960s and 70s. As the war dragged on, the Soviet Union faced growing opposition from within its own borders. Public opinion turned against the conflict as Soviet casualties grew and reports of atrocities committed by the Red Army surfaced.

·         International Isolation: Just like the modern Russian invasion Ukraine, the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan was internationally condemned and made the USSR look like a pariah state. The Soviet Union faced increasing diplomatic isolation as the war in Afghanistan dragged on. Western/aligned countries and many non-aligned nations supported efforts to end the conflict through diplomatic means.

·         Military Stalemate: Despite being the world’s 2nd military power, the Soviet Union was unable to achieve a decisive victory in Afghanistan. The conflict became a protracted stalemate, draining Soviet resources and morale over time.

·         Eventually, these factors contributed to the Soviet Union's decision to withdraw its forces from Afghanistan in 1989, which then led to the fall of the communist regime in 1992.

·         The withdrawal marked a significant defeat for the Soviet Union. And till this day, the war’s consequences are still shaping Afghanistan and the region.

 References:-

1.0 https://history.state.gov/milestones/1977-1980/soviet-invasion-afghanistan

2.0 https://www.theatlantic.com/photo/2014/08/the-soviet-war-in-afghanistan-1979-1989/100786/

3.0 https://www.history.com/news/1979-soviet-invasion-afghanistan

4.0 Image: GOOGLE.

Comments

  1. In hindsight the World would have been a better place, and certainly Afghanistan as a country, if the Russians hadn’t attacked them.
    This gave birth to the Talibans and later a demon like Osama Bin Laden

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