SARASIJ'S BLOG
ELECTION--2029
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2024
ELECTION: MY TAKE
ROUTE MAP FOR
FUTURE ELECTIONS
SARASIJ
MAJUMDER
The hidden factor behind the recent election results in India is that however much caste is hyped and consolidation of the majority disturbed, the majority of the people have given a go bye to the same. The polarisation of the majority has happened as it happened in 2014, got consolidated in2019—and mostly retained in 2024 . BJP secured the 36.56% of votes which is short by ONLY 0.8% compared to vote share of 2019.
- With
some amount of incumbency of past 10 years, poor handling of Manipur, with non-contributing
persons like Mr. Nadda, and Amit
Malviya, and some others---- BJP still has the ability to retain
its vote share and will not allow the same to wither away, even in extreme
circumstances. BJP polled 36.56% votes in 2024 against 37.77% votes in 2019.
- Poor
performance in two big states simultaneously was bound affect the results tremendously. This is
what happened to BJP because of its poor performance in U.P. and
Maharashtra. West Bengal also
FAILED! The reasons are well understood.
3.1 Amit Shah ji’s political
manipulation backfired in MAHARASHTRA. Mr. Yogi should have final say in
matters of U.P.
3.2 |Mr Yogi is no less
capable political leader than Mr. P.M. or
Mr. Shah.
3.3 As long as MB is there, BJP
can’t win as the ELECTION will not be fair in West Bengal. TMC without MB is
bound to loose badly.
- The
strong presence of BJP throughout the country, cannot be nullified however
much opposition parties tries with their
false promises. The reach of such false promises will be only be doing localized and limited damages.
- If
the grassroot cadres are very strong, any amount of pressure to defeat this
party will become a wasteful
exercise. BJP was able to withstand
the onslaught of the opposition and still produced the winning result for
any party or group of parties. One thing is very important---BJP should have good relation with
RSS, and induct RSS leaders in BJP. The good mix will be:-30% from RSS,
20% from IAS +JUDICIARY + ARMED FORCES, -best, and retired; 30%n from BJP GROOMED, and 20 % from
other party’s best leaders.
- Any
TURN-COAT shall not be accepted. There shall be thorough DUE-DILLIGENCE.
- BJP
could have rectified itself if the party had open idea on the situation, and ground reality, without having any
reservations.
- Religion
card shall not be overplayed.
- Accept
it that MUSLIMS will not vote for BJP, including for any Muslim candidate seeking to be
elected under BJP banner. BJP has
to engineer on the strength of HINDUS only—all casts included, except
MARXISTSTS, SECULARISTS, AND PEOPLLE WITH STRONG ANTI—HINDI SENTIMENTS.
- Ignore
INC, and LoP. These are
distractions. Also remember—proceedings in Parliament will have opposition—mostly
to de-rail the functioning of Elected Government. Remain focused, is the
demand of the time.
- BJP
shall conserve “energy” and use “effort” judicially for
Governance, Growth, and Reformations needed, rather than SLOGANEERING and
discriminatory campaigns.
- BJP has not lost any by-election. In Bengal-- in those 3 seats, BJP MLA defected to TMC--you know why.
Sources:--
1.0 Information--- Newspapers.
2.0 Data—EC sites.
3.0 Image--- India Today.
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Comments
Point 12 is not clear. You write "BJP has not lost any by-election". But we know BJP has indeed lost many seats in the recent by-election..
ReplyDelete1. Rupali (Bihar)- JDU - Independent - RJD lost because last time's winner defected to RJD before 2024 Election. We can also say NDA lost as seat was won by it last time. But today's winner...the Independent is on his way to NDA.
Delete2. Dehra (HP)- Independent - Congress - Congress RETAINS as BJP was at no.3 in last election.
3. Hamirpur(HP)- BJP - BJP - BJP RETAINS.
4. Nalagarh (HP)- Independent - Congress - Congress RETAINS as BJP was at no.3 in last election.
5. Amarawa (MP)- Congress - BJP - BJP WINS.
6. Jalandhar West (Punjab)- (P)AAP - (P)AAP - (P)AAP RETAINS.
7. Vikravandi (TN)- DMK - DMK - DMK RETAINS.
8. Badrinath (UK)- Congress - Congress - Congress RETAINS.
9. Manglaur (UK)- BSP - Congress - Congress WINS. BSP LOSES.
10, 11, 12. Raiganj, Ranaghat Dakshin & Bagda (Bengal) - BJP - TMC - TMC RETAINS as all 3 BJP MLAs had defected to TMC & everyone knows why they must have.
13. Maniktala (Bengal) - TMC - TMC - TMC RETAINS.
Now tell me has BJP really lost? Has Congress really won?
In By-poll, if you win seat from someone....is called WIN! If you re-win a seat....its called RETAINS! By this FACTUAL analysis, in fact, we have to say BJP has WON 1 seat in MP & CONgress has WON 2 seats in HP (over Independents & not BJP) + 1 in UK (over BSP & not BJP).
Thanks for the detailed clarification.
ReplyDeleteMY PLEASURE.
Delete