SARASIJ'S BLOG

BUDGET 2025 AT A GLANCE||| SOME KEY PROVISIONS

Image
  BUDGET 2025 AT A GLANCE SOME KEY PROVISIONS SARASIJ MAJUMDER   1.       10,000 additional seats to be inculcated in Medical Institutes in one year; 75,000 additional   medical seats will be created in next 5 years. 2.       100 GW target for Nuclear Power Generation by 2047. 3.       40,000 new houses will be added under Swayam Housing scheme. 4.       50 New Tourists’ destination will be developed by next year . 5.       A Maritime Development Fund with a corpus of ₹ 25,000 crore to be set up, with up to 49 per cent contribution by the Government, and the balance from ports and private sector. 6.       Atal Tinkering Labs (ATL) : 50,000 such labs are to be set up in government schools in 5 years. This is a part of Atal Innovation Mission (AIM). Comment: In my opinion, t...
Post a Comment

 

FROM WAYANAD: KERALA

ON RA-GA’S FUTURE

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

Kerala is an established non-secular state (despite what their C.M. would like us to believe).

They  vote mainly on religious and caste lines.

So, the three main voting blocks are the Hindus, split neatly into the atheists (major) and the believers (minor), the Muslims and the Christians.

CASTE FACTOR seldom crosses the boundary of religion.

The Muslims traditionally are with the Congress. Fully controlled by Mullahs, as they vote en mass and there is no ambiguity in the choices of the candidates, as there are no  Muslim mainstream candidates I mean!

The Christians also will go by the pulpit diktats.

Now is the problem!!! Not fair, the sneaky CPI has put up Annie Raja (also a Christian)! The pulpit “suggestions” of voting for a Christian voice got blunted now! Whom Christian will vote?? A half Italiano, who changes religion at temples, Mosques, and Churches every day , on every opportunity??

NOT LIKELY-- Negative incumbency, and a  better alternative available this time.

The constituency has 7 MLA from :==

Mananthavady---CPI (M)

Sulthan Bathery----INC

Kalpetta----INC

Thiruvambady---CPI(M)

Eranad----IUML

Nilambur----LDF/IND

Wandoor----INC

From above, you can observe that voters commitment is mostly divided to INC, and Marxist Parties.

The contestants are:=

1.0 Rahul Gandhi---INC/ Religion practised is unknown. Appeases  Muslims. Mother is Christian by birth..

2.0 Annie Raja---CPI/ INDIAN  CHRISTIAN.

3.0 K. Surendran---BJP/ HINDU- Believer.

LET US LOOK AT ELECTORAL DEMOGRAPHY.

Total electors: 1,357,819-- (2019)

 Hindu=49.48 %; Muslim=28.65 %; Christian=21.34 %;  Sikh=0.01 %;

Buddhist=0.04 %; Jain=0.22 %; Others=0.03 %; Not Available=0.23 %

Besides the lure of a PM from Wayanad can go only a short distance and no further.

NOW WE SHALL TRY TO FORTELL WHO WILL WIN, AND WE DON’T HAVE A CRYSTAL BALL.

Assumptions:- ( BASED ON FIELD INPUT)

1.0 Muslims will vote 85%, and all will go to INC.

2.0 Christians will vote 70%,  80% will go to CPI, 15% to INC, and 5% to BJP.

3.0 Hindu votes will be divided. They will vote 65%. All believers will vote for BJP.

Atheists will largely vote for CPI.  10% may go  INC, on Secular consideration. 5 % to BJP.

Now we convert the above in numbers, and filter. Following emerges:-

1.0 INC, and CPI will have a very close fight, with CPI having small advantage. Each one of them will secure close to 3.7--4.0 Lakh Votes.  Prediction is Photo Finish. 

2.0 BJP will be 3rd  with about 2.0 Lakh Votes.

THE SEAT IS NOT SO SAFE FOR RA-GA this time. BJP’s entry has most likely caused a good contest between INC, and CPI.

Source:

1.0-https://www.census2011.co.in/data/religion/district/273-wayanad.html

2.0 https://www.deccanherald.com/elections

3.0 https://www.onmanorama.com/news/kerala.html

4.0 https://english.mathrubhumi.com/

5.0 Image—Decan Herald

 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Image
  WHO PAYS THE LEGAL COST OF KEJRIWAL &CO DELHI—THINK BEFORE YOU VOTE.. Excise scam: AAP-led govt spent   ₹25.25 crore on top lawyers’ fees SARASIJ MAJUMDER T he excise policy scam in Delhi not only brought shame to the Arvind Kejriwal government, but the government exchequer is also facing an economic burden to meet expenses due to   burden of legal battles. In   2021-2022 (until 30 November), ₹25.25 crore has been paid to top lawyers, according to a Hindustan Times report. The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) and the Enforcement Directorate (ED) are engaged in the investigation of these cases. According to the documents, Congress leader Abhishek Manu Singhvi, who is also a lawyer, resenting Mr. Kejriwal, has been paid the sum of ₹18.97 crore in the past 18 months for fighting its cases, while Adv Rahul Mehra has been paid ₹5.30 crore in the past 28 months. According to the reports, in 2021-22 and 2022-23, various departments in...
Read more
Image
  INDIANS EXTRAORDINARY FIRST PART HERE, I WILL COVER THE  OUTSTANDING INDIAN SCIENTISTS, CHRONOLOGICALLY MOVING BACKWARD . 1.0 NEENA GUPTA. In 2014, she was awarded the Young Scientists Award by the Indian National Science Academy (INSA) for solving the Zariski Cancellation Problem, posed by Oscar Zariski, one of the most eminent founders of modern algebraic geometry. “One of the best works in algebraic geometry in recent years done anywhere,” was INSA’s remark on Gupta’s solution. In 2021, she was awarded the Ramanujan Prize for young mathematicians for her series of outstanding work in affine algebraic geometry and commutative algebra, particularly for the Zariski Cancellation Problem, that had remained unsolved for 60 years until 2014 when Gupta cracked it. With this, she became the third woman and the fourth Indian to win an award given to mathematicians under 45 who have conducted outstanding research in a developing country. “Her research shows impressive al...
Read more
Image
  MR. MODI--SWOT ANAYSIS SARASIJ MAJUMDER I am a very big   admirer of Mr. MODI. And belongs to similar age group. So, he, and me- saw the same India, and lived in the same period, though groomed differently, worked in different areas, and   also in different professions. I will present here a SWOT analysis of the RESPECTED PERSON—who is WORLD’S most popular, and IMPACTFUL political leader. Leaving Mr. Bose—there is no   other INDIAN STATESMAN & POLITICAL   LEADER, past or present-- anywhere near him. WHAT IS “SWOT”—analysis?   It narrates an account of Strength(S), Weakness(W), Opportunity (O) and Threat (T). LET US START:-- STRENGTH : Communication Skills: Mr. Modi is known for his effective public speaking and ability to connect with a wide range of audiences. His speeches often resonate with the public and convey a clear message. Vision for Development: He has a strong focus on economic reforms, infrastructure ...
Read more