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OPERATION SINDOOR-2 TRUCE ACHIEVED-- BY SARASIJ MAJUMDER

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  OPERATION SINDOOR-2 TRUCE ACHIEVED SARASIJ MAJUMDER BACKGROUND The operation began with India achieving its intended target; it hit nine terror training camps in Pakistan and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK), the precision strikes killing around 100 terrorists in just 26 minutes; while India has not officially put a number, 100 was the number mentioned by defence minister Rajnath Singh when he briefed leaders of opposition political parties, according to people present at the meeting. The targets were selected based on hard intelligence and their nefarious track record of perpetrating terror activities. The details of the terror targets were covered in the BLOG referred below: -- https://sarasij1majumder.blogspot.com/2025/05/operation-sindoor.html Pakistan reacted Militarily, and India also responded Militarily in a calculated, and very measured manner, keeping escape route for Pakistan always open. For Pakistan— “IT WAS A REVENGE ACTION” --- but it was not so for In...
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ELECTION:HARYANA

 

ELECTION:HARYANA

 ‘JANADESH’ FAVOURS BJP

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

Haryana is a state adjacent to Delhi and is a small assembly of 90 seats. Legislative assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Haryana on 5th  October 2024 to elect all 90 members of the Haryana Legislative Assembly.

Only  two political parties  are significant. No 3rd  major player. AAP couldn’t penetrate in HARYANA politics so far, as they are not ‘Mufftkhors’.

INDI-ALLIANCE:

Currently AAP has negligeable influence in the state but by PIGGYBACKING on Congress, it  planned to increase its stronghold in seats adjacent to Delhi and outer Delhi like Faridabad, urban Gurugram and portion of Haryana that borders Delhi. The alliance would give AAP a comfortable entry into Haryana  state politics. It would become extremely hard for Congress to snatch back these seats from AAP later. INC understands that.

AAP alone doesn’t have more than 5% vote share in the entire state. This poor alliance will not help INC in contest with BJP. AAP gets support from  some Jatt Sikhs living along the Punjab-- Haryana  border only. They may vote for AAP under the influence of their community people voted for AAP  in Punjab.

Rahul Gandhi wanted Haryana Congress to contest the election under the INDI alliance by allying with AAP. Several rounds of negotiations were held between both parties in Rohtak to finalize seat sharing but the talks failed in the final stages of negotiations. Congress initially didn’t want to allot more than 5 seats to AAP while AAP was demanding 15 seats from them. In the end Haryana Congress decided they would not allocate a single seat to AAP. Present political image of AAP also may be a factor.

AAP now is on its own in Haryana.

BJP-NDA:

The pressure of anti-incumbency against the current BJP government of Nayab Singh Saini was released from the pressure cooker in the last Lok Sabha election itself. The non Jatt people who voted against BJP in the Lok Sabha election regret their decision and are eager to rectify it. So vote share of BJP is going to increase when compared to Lok Sabha results of the state as the traditional non Jatts who voted against BJP will be voting for the party in large numbers in this assembly election.

OTHER PARTIES:

During Lok Sabha election, INLD and JJP did not field their candidates. That helped Congress to get all the Jatt votes and some of the floating Dalit votes. But this time they are taking active participation in the election from day one. So entry of AAP makes the election a pentagonal contest. BJP performs best in multipolar election. Entry of AAP, as well as INLD, JJP,  & INDEPENDENTS  are  going to harm Congress more than BJP.

WHAT EMERGE:

There could be a hung assembly with JJP + Independents getting 10–12 seats and becoming the Kingmakers.

JJP is more anti-Congress than anti-BJP as they still they ask votes in the name of  TAO Devi Lal (a strong opponent of Congress but a good friend of BJP).

Independents may defect to congress if JJP isn’t able to convince them.

And if they see BJP+JJP having more seats than the INC, they may defect to BJP/ NDA. Their decision will be seen at that time what the overall Arithmetic is.

IN ALL PROBABILITY—I WILL BET THAT BJP WILL BE ABLE TO FORM A GOVERNMENT IN HARYANA, LEAD COULD BE THIN.

Reference:- INFORMATION & DATA|||TOI, HT, Swarajya, Amar Ujala; My individual survey.

ANALYSIS: BY BLOGGER.

Image:-- Google

 

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