My Regards to Tagore, on 25th Baishakh-1432.
My Regards to Tagore, on 25th Baishakh-1432. हे रबिन्द्रम् , सरसिजस्य लह प्रनामम || হে রবীন্দ্র , সরসিজের লহো প্রণাম । । गुरुदेब , सरसिजके प्रणाम स्वीकार कीजिये ||
SARASIJ'S BLOG
ELECTION FORECAST OF J & K
ELECTION FORECAST OF J & K
SARASIJ
MAJUMDER
THE PREAMBLE:
J
& K’S past legacy involved around
article 370 and 35 A, supporting terrorists, RIOTS AND BURNING HINDU HOUSES, STONE
PELTING, THROWING OUT PUNDITS,
DESTROYING TEMPLES, getting heavily subsidized food from GOI for the citizens
of Kashmir and allowing warped, discriminatory representation, from valley,
Jammu and Leh --Ladakh.
The
present thought process revolves around treating J&K at par with other
states and work for assimilation which has brought peace and prosperity to the
rest of India and there should be no reason to believe that J&K would be an
exception. It also means more muscular and no nonsense dealing with terrorists
and their sympathizers. It also means development in J&K.
Sorry
to say but in the later thought process the “has been” variety of Abdullahs,
Muftis and the Hurriyat have no place and that is why the statements opposing
it from these people. Their cheese is getting moved big time and they are
facing irrelevance.
The
state of J&K is getting ready to develop a new leadership. We need to give
it time to evolve. But it is true that this election will decide whether the
first thought process will continue or the second thought process evolve.
ELECTION ALLIANCES, & CAMPAIGN:-
1.0
LoP representing INC is talking about
selling Apples from Kashmir in USA, Japan…etc.
2.0
NC, and it’s alliances are talking of
bringing back Article-370.
3.0
There are 4 independent candidates,
who are likely to get elected—and they most likely will not support NC
alliance.
4.0
For a change—many Muslim Leaders are
having different Parties. They are not
united and competing against all other.
5.0
Hindu Votes are United, and behind
BJP.
6.0
ELECTION is over, remained peaceful, and voting
percentage is satisfactory.
SEAT
SHARE:
INDIA are certain to win 4 Seats in Jammu and 31 Seats in
Kashmir
BJP is certain to win 27 Seats in Jammu and NO SEAT in
Kashmir
PDP is certain to win 2 Seats in Kashmir
4 Seats are definitely likely to be won by Independents who
are long popular names
That's 35 Seats for INDIA, 27 seats for BJP and 2 Seats for
PDP and 4 Seats for Others
That's 68 Seats
The Balance 22 Seats will decide the elections:-
10 Seats in Kashmir
12 Seats in Jammu
India needs only 11/22 of which 10 seats are in Kashmir
BJP needs 19/22 of which they need to win 7 seats in Kashmir
WHAT EMERGE:
HUNG ASSEMBLY is the probability.
Can Mr. Shah
Do A MIRACLE!?!?
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