ELECTION-- 2024

THE CHARACTERISTICS

PUNDIT’S OBSERVATIONS

MY REVIEW

SARASIJ MAJUMDER :Dt.-01-06-24

 

Today the last and 7^th stage of election will be completed. The results of the election are set to be declared on June 4^th. But, I am  intrigued and curious about the Indian voters. I call it a SILENT PHENOMENA. This phenomenon is well spread  across the nation in most of states, barring West Bengal—where MODI WAVE is very strong, and highly visible. Psephologists are discussing the uncertain public mood ahead of the result of 2024 Lok Sabha Election.

BUT—ARE THEY UNCERTAIN??? MAY BE. BUT, I AM NOT.

Despite anticipating a BJP majority, Psephologists feel that unexpected outcomes are possible. They think-- BJP faces challenges even in its northern strongholds but is expected to gain in non-BJP states like Telangana, Odisha, and Bengal.

Unlike the last parliamentary election, there is no strong pro-government wave or noticeable public anger against the current administration. Instead,  they say, there is a general sense of discontent that the Opposition has not effectively leveraged. I think—it is a wrong reading. By and large—Support For BJP is there. May not be visible.

There is an adage---“ MOUNAM SAMMATI LAKSHANAM”—SILENCE CONCURS.

Senior journalist Neerja Chowdhury described this election as complex and challenging to interpret, noting the absence of a clear Modi wave or the presence of angered voters. The Opposition parties have focused on criticizing the incumbents, but this  don’t have much takers.

Political strategist Amitabh Tiwari emphasized that while there is discontent, it hasn't been converted into anger due to the lack of a strong political movement. Voting decisions are emotionally driven by hope or anger, and the current election campaign started with national issues by BJP but shifted to respond to the Opposition's agenda.

He is partly wrong in assessment in the first part. I have no comments on second part.

PEOPLE EXPECTED STRONGER ACTION AGAINST CORRUPTION BY BJP.  HERE THEY ARE DIS-SATISFIED. BUT- JUDICIARY…..let us not say.

Sanjay Kumar from CSDS highlighted the silent majority's pre-election decisions are driven by aspirations for a brighter future. He pointed out that major voting segments like women and welfare beneficiaries are underrepresented on social media, which might mislead the Opposition and could emerge as a silent wave.

SANJAYJI, YOU ARE 100% CORRECT.

There is a perceptible undercurrent of the positives of Ram Mandir at Ayodhya, the Hindu-Muslim dichotomy and the hope of seeing India as a developed nation probably is making people supporting BJP+ in large numbers. The credibility of the entire opposition at its lowest now, they are facing backlash even in their own citadels, which is collapsing.

The BJP aims for 370 seats and targets 30-plus seats from allies to cross 400. It is hoped that gains in non-BJP states like Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, and Telangana may offset potential losses in the Maharashtra and Karnataka. Success in Bengal, and ODISSA is crucial as outcomes in these states will largely increase the BJP's tally.

MY STUDY & ASSESSMENT:-- I UPTICK PHALODI SATTA BAZAR PREDICTION. THEY HAVE COLLECTED LAREGEST RELEVENT  DATA, AND HAVE AN ACCEPTABLE DATA PROCESSING SYSTEM.

REFERENCES:--

ALL INPUTS ARE TAKEN FROM PUBLIC DOMAINS, NEWS PAPERS AND MEDIA.

IMAGE: Google