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ELECTION-- 2024
THE CHARACTERISTICS
PUNDIT’S OBSERVATIONS
MY REVIEW
SARASIJ MAJUMDER :Dt.-01-06-24
Today the last and 7th stage of election will be
completed. The results of the election are set to be declared on June 4th.
But, I am intrigued and curious about
the Indian voters. I call it a SILENT PHENOMENA. This phenomenon is well spread
across the nation in most of states,
barring West Bengal—where MODI WAVE is very strong, and highly visible.
Psephologists are discussing the uncertain public mood ahead of the result of
2024 Lok Sabha Election.
BUT—ARE THEY UNCERTAIN??? MAY BE. BUT, I AM NOT.
Despite anticipating a BJP majority, Psephologists feel that
unexpected outcomes are possible. They think-- BJP faces challenges even in its
northern strongholds but is expected to gain in non-BJP states like Telangana,
Odisha, and Bengal.
Unlike the last parliamentary election, there is no strong
pro-government wave or noticeable public anger against the current
administration. Instead, they say, there is a
general sense of discontent that the Opposition has not effectively leveraged.
I think—it is a wrong reading. By and large—Support For BJP is there. May not
be visible.
There is an adage---“ MOUNAM SAMMATI LAKSHANAM”—SILENCE CONCURS.
Senior journalist Neerja Chowdhury described this election as complex and
challenging to interpret, noting the absence of a clear Modi wave or the
presence of angered voters. The Opposition parties have focused on criticizing
the incumbents, but this don’t have much
takers.
Political strategist Amitabh Tiwari emphasized that while there is
discontent, it hasn't been converted into anger due to the lack of a strong
political movement. Voting decisions are emotionally driven by hope or anger,
and the current election campaign started with national issues by BJP but
shifted to respond to the Opposition's agenda.
He is partly wrong in assessment in the first part. I have
no comments on second part.
PEOPLE EXPECTED STRONGER ACTION AGAINST CORRUPTION BY
BJP. HERE THEY ARE DIS-SATISFIED. BUT-
JUDICIARY…..let us not say.
Sanjay
Kumar from CSDS highlighted the silent majority's pre-election decisions are
driven by aspirations for a brighter future. He pointed out that major voting
segments like women and welfare beneficiaries are underrepresented on social
media, which might mislead the Opposition and could emerge as a silent wave.
SANJAYJI,
YOU ARE 100% CORRECT.
There is a perceptible undercurrent of the positives of Ram
Mandir at Ayodhya, the Hindu-Muslim dichotomy and the hope of seeing India as a
developed nation probably is making people supporting BJP+ in large numbers. The
credibility of the entire opposition at its lowest now, they are facing
backlash even in their own citadels, which is collapsing.
The BJP aims for 370 seats and targets 30-plus seats from
allies to cross 400. It is hoped that gains in non-BJP states like Odisha,
Andhra Pradesh, and Telangana may offset potential losses in the Maharashtra
and Karnataka. Success in Bengal, and ODISSA is crucial as outcomes in these
states will largely increase the BJP's tally.
MY STUDY & ASSESSMENT:-- I UPTICK PHALODI SATTA BAZAR PREDICTION. THEY HAVE COLLECTED LAREGEST RELEVENT DATA, AND HAVE AN ACCEPTABLE DATA PROCESSING SYSTEM.
REFERENCES:--
ALL
INPUTS ARE TAKEN FROM PUBLIC DOMAINS, NEWS PAPERS AND MEDIA.
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