ELECTION IN
J&K
A POLITICAL
ANALYSIS
SARASIJ
MAJUMDER
NC + INC +PDP
- National
Conference has promised to restore Article 370 if they come to power
though constitutionally that is not possible. Legislation ratified that,
and review in SC agreed with that. It is now fool-proof.
- Senior
Congress leader Ghulam Nabi Azad said that the Congress never demanded a
reversal of the 5 August 2019 decision to revoke the special status of J&K.
He also praised the administration of L-G Manoj Sinha, saying he “has done
a very good job”.
- This
can be a big boost to BJP’s campaign and trouble for Congress.
- Or
congress is overconfident of not getting harmed by NC’s stance on article
370 abrogation because of BJP’s defeat in Ayodhya despite Ram Mandir ?
- Article
370 abrogation has been as important and emotional issue as Ram Mandir for
Indians.
- In
their brief press briefing earlier this week, on their first visit to
J&K after polls were announced, Congress chief Kharge and
parliamentary LoP Rahul Gandhi betrayed the tight-lipped approach and
jitters expected in the run-up to the J&K elections that start Sep 18.
- Rahul’s
casual comment that Congress had expected statehood would be restored
before elections was no passing remark.
- But
in the last 10 years since the last Assembly polls, what elections mean,
and what J&K reclaiming statehood can mean, have changed.
BJP'S KEY PROMISES AND PLANS FOR JAMMU
AND KASHMIR
Agriculture
- Provide
₹10,000 to the farmers of the state under PM Kisan Samman Nidhi.
- Reduce
electricity rates for agricultural activities by 50%.
Employment
- Generate
5 lakh employment opportunities for the youth.
- Ensure
a fair and just recruitment process.
Education
- Under
the Pragati Shiksha Yojana, provide college students with a travel
allowance of ₹ 3000/- p.m.
- Add
1,000 new seats in medical colleges to improve the education system.
Social Welfare
- Under
the Maa Samman Yojana, the senior-most woman in every household will be
given ₹18,000 per year.
- Ujjwala
beneficiaries will receive two free cylinders every year.
- Through
the Atal Housing Scheme, land will be allotted free of cost to landless
beneficiaries.
- Old
age, widow, and disability pensions will be increased three times.
Infrastructure
- Complete
all important tunnel projects.
- Construct
10,000 km of new rural roads.
- Initiate
metro services in Jammu and Srinagar.
- Rebuild
and renovate Hindu temples and religious places.
Healthcare
- Ayushman
Bharat Sehat Yojana will provide an additional ₹2 lakh in healthcare
coverage on top of the ₹5 lakh already provided.
Rehabilitation
- Speed
up the rehabilitation process for displaced people.
Tourism
- Transform
Jammu and Kashmir from a "terrorist hotspot to a tourist spot."
Jammu and Kashmir Assembly Elections
Jammu and Kashmir has 90 assembly
constituencies, with 7 seats reserved for Scheduled Castes (SCs) and 9 for
Scheduled Tribes (STs).Out of the 90 seats, 43 seats are in Jammu division and 47 seats are in the Kashmir division. There shall be reservation of SETS for Kashmiri Pundits. This reformation was due.
ON ELECTIONS
- Since
2014, both J&K’s state parties Mehbooba Mufti’s PDP and the Abdullahs’
NC stood whittled.
- Neither,
as of now, has the influence to single-handedly swing any meaningful haul
of seats to the 90-seat assembly.
- In
2014, PDP formed a government with BJP.
- PDP is
now losing footing fighting both NC and BJP.
- NC
has cadres, but sort of CLUELESS on its political front — its manifesto centers
around the meaningless promise of restoration of Article 370.
- When
Sajad Lone and Altaf Bukhari don’t see major political damage in
hobnobbing with BJP, it can be assumed NC here is barking up the wrong Chinar.
- Coming
to BJP, while it remains unpopular in the Valley it has retained its hold
on Jammu.
- UAPA-accused
Engineer Rashid’s shock win in Baramulla LS seat (he took 15 of 18
Assembly segments) captures the deep disaffection among the people.
GOVERNOR’S ADDITIONAL POWER
- In
July, MHA amended J&K’s Transaction of Business Rules to enhance L-G’s
powers, giving him final say in all matters related to police, public
order, transfers and postings.
- BJP
reckons it’s going to be a win-win, whether it calls the shots in the new
legislature or not.
- But
the L-G vs new government battles are likely. We need a very competent L-G
there.
WHAT EMERGE:--
It is almost certain no single party will have a
majority of 46 seats. No matter what the government gets cobbled together, it
will be a ‘J&K' UT with a legislature.
FRAGILE ALLIANCES BUILT ON POLITICAL COMPULSIONS
ARE THE ORDER OF THE ELECTION IN J&K.
HOWEVER, BJP HAS VERY VERY THIN CHANCE, IF IT DOES VERY WELL IN JAMMU, AND BAG SOME SEATS IN KASMIR.
BJP'S ELECTION MANIFESTO IS ATTRACTIVE.
SOURCES:-
1.0 All information are in public domain.
2.0 OPINION AND ANALISIS IS BY BLOGGER.
Comments
Post a Comment