WEST BENGAL—JUNE-01
7H PHASE OF
ELECTION
TMC’S LAST
GAMBLE
STRATEGY AND
FORECAST
SARASIJ
MAJUMDER
1.0 So far, BJP is having Majority in
25-26 seats. If TMC can’t manipulate the COUNTING, these many seats BJP has
already won.
2.0 On 7th stage—the
constituencies are :DUM DUM;BARASAT; BASIRHAT; JOYNAGAR; MATHURAPUR;
DIAMONDHARBOUR; JADAVPUR; KOLKATA (N), &
(S)—Total 9.
3.0 Out of above—MATHURAPUR, BASIRHAT,
AND KOL (N) shall be easy to win by BJP. They have favourable DEMOGRAPHY. Only
honest, and sustained effort is needed, with routine strategy, and tactics.
These 3 SEATS will enter HOME. DUM DUM is a HINDU majority constituency, but
BJP’s local organization is weak. Hence it is 50%. BARASAT IS ALSO 50%. JADAVPUR :- TMC , CPI(M), and BJP—triangular fight,
and forecast difficult. SAYANI may be defeated. JOYNAGAR &
KOL(S)—is TMC.
4.0 CHAPPA
VOTE: METHODOLOGY
4.1 By 8.00, TMC starts Terror by
burning House/Shop , 1 or 2, of main Opposition.
4.2 Murder 1 or 2 supporter/ worker
of main opposition.
4.3 Burst Crackers—several, at 3/4
min. interval.
4.4 Take VDO—make it viral.
4.5 Share VDO clips with paid YOU TUBERS of the party—they
will make VDOs with NARRATIVE, and share.
4.6 All above will create large scale panic in the
constituency. Many Voters will not come out to vote.
4.7 Use party workers to JAM and make long line (Q) at every
selected booth. If any voter comes, will see long line, and go back—to come
later. But this long line will stay. Drive out Polling Agents of opposition
parties, by use of force.
4.8 After mid-day—Presiding officer, and polling officers
will complete chappa vote—90-95% voting.
4.9 These are applied only in MINORITY DOMINANT Booths, and they vote for TMC.
4.10 LUNGI FOUZ undertake these activities.
4.11 Arrest them before hand, and put to Custody in the
previous day, release next day. They are
known elements of Police..
5.0 I will discuss BASIRHAT, and
DIAMONDHARBOUR—where TMC will try to create
TERROR, and try CHAPPA VOTES, as
stated above.
6.0 BASIRHAT:-
6.1 I am sure, if Chappa votes can be
prevented, Mrs. Rekha Patro will win from BASIRHAT. She has done lot of hard work, and reached the
voters effectively. It is a HINDU MAJORITY constituency with Hind voters outnumbering Muslim voters by a
Margin of over 2 Lakh, as per election data published by GOI. And Muslim votes will be divided, and Rekhaji
will get a chunk of Muslim votes also. Haji Nurul Islam from All India Trinamool Congress ,
and Nirapada Sardar from Communist Party Of India (Marxist) will CUT Muslim
Votes, but behind in the race. BJP’s organization has to
ensure that MOST OF HINDU VOTERS CAN
VOTE. ANTI-TMC mobilization is complete, with committed HINDU voters for BJP. A senior BJP leader shall help her to organize
the Control of Booths, and management of
Poling Agents.
ALERT:-- There are 1,0,000 Rohingyas,
in this area, who will try to make disturbances. Strong Security Force is
needed to control this.
7.0 DIAMOND
HARBOUR:--
7.1 Here the problem is different.
7.2 BJP has a strong local candidate,
who is well experienced.
7.3 There will be about 1,200
Booths—350 being located in minority controlled CHAPPA areas. In all other Booths, BJP will win.
7.4 Those 350 Booths where CHAPPA
happened last time, and will be the
target of TMC to repeat CHAPPA. There were 90-95% votes last time at those
booths. And that shall be prevented.
7.5 Just prevent Chappa—Abhisek
Banerjee will lose.
WHAT EMERGE:-- If Chappa can be
prevented—BJP may win 5 seats, at last & 7th stage of Election in WEST BENGAL.
REFERENCE:-
1.0 All data are in public domain.
2.0 Image-- GOOGLE
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