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TRUMP’S CHINA CHALLENGE : A FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS
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TRUMP’S CHINA CHALLENGE
A
FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS
SARASIJ MAJUMDER
BACKGROUND :
After
2nd World War, USA became Super Power, and retained the position due
to the end of Colonial Era. U.S.S.R. was competing, but was second in all
respect. Even then— by default it was a Bi-Polar world! Cuban crisis put USA
firmly as Super most power. After Glasnost, and Perestroika—it became an
UNI-POLAR world, which now got subsequently challenged.
NEW
EMERGENCE:--
At
least 2 and a half decades, the Ui-Polar situation hold, till CHINA emerged as a
contender. Soon India follow through. Russia still remained a pole, though
smaller. Hence—we got a MULTI-POLAR world now, much to the chagrin of Uncle
Sam, and his tail EU, which feared Russia; has mental blockade in accepting
China as a world leader, and accustomed to think India as a third world!!!
OBAMA-OBAMA—TRUMP-BIDEN:-
In
8 years of OBAMA period, USA got further decayed, and CHINA emerged much
stronger. Actually, Democrats should have selected their leader more JUDICIALLY, and people of
USA delayed in bringing Republican in the Power. By that time, the SECULAR, and
half leftist DEMORATS transferred much of the political power in the hand of
DEEP STATE—the process started from the
time of Mr Bush. CIA, and its alley, once
servants, started becoming Masters, and dictating the foreign policies of USA!
Unfortunately,
Mr. Trump was saddled with the burden of COVID--, and the Afghanistan (
inherited from Bush Junior & OBAMA ). He started earnestly—but lost the next
election. USA returned to old beaten route under BIDEN (read DEEP STATE), CHINA
recovered from Covid, and surged ahead!
PRESENT
WORLD HOT SPOTS:
Now
world has two HOT SPOTS—and USA is highly involved in both. The following Mr. Trump
may do:
1.0 Force Zelensky to sort out
the Conflict, with Russia. There are some favourable signals coming from
Ukraine.
2.0 Quit NATO—no more needed
after melt down of USSR.
3.0 EU shall reorganise their
collective Défense.
4.0 USA can support EU
militarily, if Russia becomes very aggressive.
5.0 Force the Palestinians and the eco-system
supporting it to get out of JIHAD based
aggression, or peril.
6.0 The two bad countries—Iran in Asia, and Turkey in
Europe shall be controlled by SANCTIONS, unless they
behave.
7.0 This leaves China, and
India.
CHINA
POLICY:-
There
are THREE routes:-
Transactional
Approach: Trump tried this during his first term, when his team wanted to adopt
Competitive Approach. This case of ‘CONFLICT’
helped nobody.
Competitive
Approach:- Obama took appeasing route, Biden lost time. Now central challenge USA
faces is clear. Positioning the United
States to outcompete China is uphill task, as
critical window in the competition begins to close.
Negotiation:
China has three soft points in its underbelly. Those are Tibbet, Taiwan, and
South China Sea.
For
Tibbet, USA’s alliance is INDIA.
For
Taiwan, they have to fight their battle—and a NATO like group shall be formed
amongst the countries, surrounding the South China sea, and don’t belong to
Dragon Camp. USA shall support this group whole heartedly. India shall be
friend of this ALLIANCE! On QUAD, though, both are on different pages at
present.
The
above shall be organized to solve the problem of China’s Control at South China
Sea also.
INDIA POLICY:
USA
has to get rid of its weakness on Pakistan, and facilitate return of POK to
India by a combination of peaceful negotiations, and economic threats.
USA
shall accept that INDIA will maintain its independence, but support USA
globally on issue based policy, yet
support USA on ISRAEL issue, Taiwan issue, and also on all conflicts at south
China sea unambiguously, and unconditionally. India shall revisit its policy on
Palestine.
In
Indian ocean—China shall be checkmated, if needed with USA support.
However—USA
developed some deep internal weaknesses—but that will be discussed separately.
Disclaimer:-
This is not a commercial BLOG.
Reference:--
All information are in Public Domain. Opinions, and Conclusions are made by the
BLOGGER.
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