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NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||15th MAY2026

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  NEWS & VIEWS|||SARASIJ|||15 th MAY2026 FRIDAY| VOL—V/2026/MAY OPINIONATED, FOR FREE CIRCULATION. न जायते म्रियते वा कदाचिन्नायं भूत्वा भविता वा न भूयः । अजो नित्यः शाश्वतोऽयं पुराणोन हन्यते हन्यमाने शरीरे ॥ THE CRUX OF THIS SLOKAM FROM ‘GEETA’ is ‘SOUL’ CAN’T BE DESTROYED. INDIA: (GOI, SWARAJYA, VISHWAMITRA, HINDU POST, INDIA TODAY). KEY NEWS: Prime Minister Narendra Modi will arrive in United Arab Emirates capital Abu Dhabi today on the first leg of his five nation visit. He will later visit the Netherlands, Sweden, Norway and Italy. EAM S. Jaishankar chaired the BRICS Foreign Ministers Meeting 2026, which began on 14 May in New Delhi, marking a key step ahead of India’s BRICS Chairmanship 2026. The two-day meeting focuses on global geopolitics, regional security, economic cooperation and reforms in multilateral institutions. Russian Foreign Minister is attending the meeting. India has imposed an immediate ban on sugar exports until 30 September 2026 to sa...
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BENGAL ELECTION 2026||| PART II

 

BENGAL ELECTION

2026||| PART II

SARASIJ MAJUMDER

 

 

ELECTORAL MATHEMATICS is one aspect, and realizing that into political win is a different ball game, if opponent is TMC—who doesn’t play by rules—but announces—“KHELA HOBE”!!—which is nothing but BLOOD BATH!!.

But—let us systematically review.

POST POLL VIOLENCE:

300+ BJP workers were killed & 3,000 displaced, 90% IMMEDIATELY AFTER ELECTION OF 2021. Since 2021, political violence  continued in WB. It was alleged that Police remained on the side of TMC.

Police started working for the Ruling Party since CPI(M) days—during TMC regime, they have become SLAVES of TMC. IPS cadres working in West Bengal are  a part of this SLAVE team.

This has created a large-scale fear in the mind of BJP workers, who work at grassroot level.

Key Decisions were delivered from Mamata Banerjee’s chambers.

This rule of TMC TERROR has to be eliminated. NOW!

DATA: 2024 ELECTION:

Total Electorate:-- 7 Crore 60 Lakhs.

Participated in Election:-6 Crore 48 Lakhs (78%)

TMC VOTE:-2 Crore 76 Lakhs+.

NDA VOTES:--2 Crore 34 Lakhs.

DIFFERENCE:- 42+ Lakhs

SIR UPDATE:-

1.      58.2 Lakh Fake Voters are already deleted by SIR from the list. A major component of this number are dead voters.

2.      32.0 Lakh voters are outside the 2002/2003 Mapping List.

3.      Father mis-match are observed in case of 24.0 Lakh Voters.

4.      94.0 Lakh voters have submitted defective FORMS.

5.      We can safely believe—at least another 50.0 Lakh or more fake voters will be deleted on account of 2,3,&4.

IMPOSING ‘SIR’(AS ON TODAY) ON 2024 STATISTICS:

1.0  NDA already in Surplus category, by (58-42)=16 lakhs. New voters most likely will increase this margin. Presently we ignore this number.

2.0  I presume there is no FALSE VOTERS for NDA.

3.0  Revised TMC VOTE: =(276-58-50)i.e.1 Crore 68 Lakhs. It may still be less.

4.0  BJP ahead by 66 Lakhs.

5.0  Hence—the following outcome emerges:--

a)      TMC is sure in 85 seats.

b)     Imposing ‘SIR’ BJP will get  (74 +99)= 173 seats.

c)      CPM=1, Congress=1, GJMM=1, MUSLIM PARTIES COMBINED=6

d)     On 27 seats, the result is considered uncertain, as of today. Based on SIR—the result will be reviewed later.

FORECAST ON 11 DISTRICTS:

We have reviewed the case of 11 Districts, and present you a probable outcome:

PURULIA: There are 9 seats. We think—in 8 sits BJP will win. One will go to TMC.

BANKURA: There are 12 seats. Saffron will secure 8 seats. 4 will go to TMC.

E.MIDNAPORE: There are 16 seats. This region is controlled by Shuvendu Adhikary. 15 seats will definitely go to BJP. Only Polashpur—a Muslim majority area, may go to TMC.

WEST BURDWAN: Total 9 seats. 8 will be won by BJP. Only Pandabeshwar may go to TMC way.

KOLKATA (N & S): There are 11 seats. BJP will win 4 to 6. TMC is sure of 5, may get 2 more.

DARJEELING:  There are 5 seats, and all will go to BJP.

KALIMPONG: Only one seat, and will be won by Gorkha Jana Mukti Mancha.

HOWRAH: There are 12 seats. 7 will be won by BJP. 4 will be won by TMC. One may be by OTHERS.

MALDAHA: There are 12 seats. Hindu people here got completely united. Hence- 8 will be won by BJP. 4 are in Muslim majority area and will  go to TMC.

MURSHIDABAD: Here, Muslim votes will be divided. There is total 22 seats. 3 will surely be won by BJP. 10 will surely be won by TMC. Congress and CPM each may win 1 seat. 6 seats will be won by MUSLIM ALLIANCE PARTIES. Last one  can go to anybody in a triangular fight.

THUS—in 109 in above 11 districts seats, BJP is likely to  bag 76 seats.

 

A CASE STUDY PRESENTED, OUT OF 130 MADE BY ME:

BIDHAN SAVA: KOLKATA CHOWRONGHEE.

Sitting MLA—Ms. Nayona Bandyopadhya.

Won by a margin of 45,346 votes.

SIR already removed 74, 300 Voters from Voter List here.

Another 22,400 Voters are having “No Mapping” obtained  problem, Duplicate father etc.

Hence, BJP is most likely to win this seat by 30,000++ margin.

In this Mathematical logic, BJP is likely to win 6 Seats in Kolkata, which are presently with TMC.

 

REFERENCES:

1.0  https://sarasij1majumder.blogspot.com/2025/12/bengal-election-2026-pre-draft-sir.html

2.0  https://sarasij1majumder.blogspot.com/2026/01/sirwest-bengal-what-is-revealed.html

3.0  NEWS PAPERS, YOU TUBERS.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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